★ Origin 2026
State of Origin Game 1 — Wed 27 May, Accor Stadium
QLD have won the last 2 at Accor. See our pick before kickoff.
🏉 2026 Season
NRL 2026 Round Tips & Predictions
AI-generated match winner predictions for every round of the 2026 NRL season. Built on 1,468 historical matches, live weather data, and 5-game pattern analysis — updated every week.
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Round 14 Tips — Current Round
74%
Model accuracy
(74/100 since R1)
(74/100 since R1)
57%
Round 13 hit rate
8
Picks this round
80%
Best bet confidence
Best bet of the round
Sea Eagles vs Rabbitohs · HIGH confidence
Pick: Sea Eagles @ 80%
Model's strongest read of the week. The win probability sits well above market for Sea Eagles — this is the anchor leg.
See full Round 14 analysis →⚡ Round 14 — Live Now
Full analysis with patterns & weather →Sea EaglesvsRabbitohs
PickSea EaglesHigh
StormvsKnights
PickKnightsCoin flip
RaidersvsRoosters
PickRoostersMedium
CowboysvsDolphins
PickDolphinsMedium
BroncosvsTitans
PickBroncosLow
Wests TigersvsPanthers
PickPanthersMedium
SharksvsDragons
PickSharksMedium
BulldogsvsEels
PickBulldogsHigh
Model form — last 16 picks
Hit rate: 11/16 (69%)
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How Our Model Works
1,505
Matches in training set
Every NRL match 2019–2026, with 53 features per game including form, H2H, streaks, weather.
XGB + LR
Ensemble model
XGBoost gradient boosting combined with logistic regression. Calibrated probabilities — not just rankings.
Live
Open-Meteo weather
Forecast temperature, wind and rain pulled per venue at prediction time. Adjusts for closed-roof stadiums.
2026 Season — All Rounds
| Round | Dates | Tips | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Round 14 | 5–8 Jun 2026 | View Round 14 Tips | Live |
| Round 13 | 29 May–1 Jun 2026 | View Round 13 Tips | Done |
| Round 12 | 22–25 May 2026 | View Round 12 Tips | Done |
| Round 11 | 15–18 May 2026 | View Round 11 Tips | Done |
| Round 10 | 8–11 May 2026 | View Round 10 Tips | Done |
| Round 9 | 2–4 May 2026 | View Round 9 Tips | Done |
| Round 8 | 25–27 Apr 2026 | View Round 8 Tips | Done |
| Round 7 | 17–20 Apr 2026 | Completed | Done |
| Round 6 | 10–13 Apr 2026 | Completed | Done |
| Round 5 | 3–6 Apr 2026 | Completed | Done |
| Round 4 | 27–30 Mar 2026 | Completed | Done |
| Round 3 | 20–23 Mar 2026 | Completed | Done |
| Round 2 | 13–16 Mar 2026 | Completed | Done |
| Round 1 | 6–9 Mar 2026 | Completed | Done |
Predictions for completed rounds were published before kick-off. Full accuracy tracking will be published at the end of the season.
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