NRL 2026 Round 11 Tips & Predictions — AI Model Picks

Our AI model has crunched the numbers for NRL 2026 Round 11 and produced its weekly predictions. The model draws on 1,489+ historical matches (2019–2026), incorporating recent form, head-to-head records, streak analysis, 5-game pattern recognition, and live weather data for every venue.

Current model accuracy: 80.6% across 2026 — see the full results tracker.


Round 11 Predictions

📍 Suncorp Stadium MEDIUM

⛅ 18°C · Wind 8 km/h · Rain 0.8mm · Humidity 79%

SHA
Sharks
44% wins this season
vs
BUL
Bulldogs
33% wins this season
67%
33%
SharksBulldogs
AI Pick Sharks (67% probability)
Sharks last 5
W L L W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 37%
Bulldogs last 5
W L L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 36%
Bulldogs: 4-game losing streak (hist. win next: 35%)
📍 Suncorp Stadium LOW

⛅ 18°C · Wind 8 km/h · Rain 0.8mm · Humidity 79%

RAB
Rabbitohs
67% wins this season
vs
DOL
Dolphins
44% wins this season
64%
36%
RabbitohsDolphins
AI Pick Rabbitohs (64% probability)
Rabbitohs last 5
L W W L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Dolphins last 5
L L L W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Dolphins: Recovery pattern — bouncing back from losses
📍 Suncorp Stadium LOW

⛅ 19°C · Wind 9 km/h · Rain 0.8mm · Humidity 82%

WES
Wests Tigers
56% wins this season
vs
SEA
Sea Eagles
56% wins this season
43%
57%
Wests TigersSea Eagles
AI Pick Sea Eagles (57% probability)
Wests Tigers last 5
W L W L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Sea Eagles last 5
W W W L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 59%
Wests Tigers: Collapse pattern — was winning, now on a losing run
Sea Eagles: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 Suncorp Stadium MEDIUM

⛅ 19°C · Wind 9 km/h · Rain 0.8mm · Humidity 82%

ROO
Roosters
78% wins this season
vs
COW
Cowboys
60% wins this season
68%
32%
RoostersCowboys
AI Pick Roosters (68% probability)
Roosters last 5
W W W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 64%
Cowboys last 5
W L W W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Roosters: 6-game win streak (hist. continuation: 56%)
Roosters: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 Suncorp Stadium LOW

⛅ 19°C · Wind 9 km/h · Rain 0.8mm · Humidity 82%

EEL
Eels
40% wins this season
vs
STO
Storm
30% wins this season
35%
65%
EelsStorm
AI Pick Storm (65% probability)
Eels last 5
L W L L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Storm last 5
L L L L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 42%
📍 Suncorp Stadium LOW

⛅ 21°C · Wind 5 km/h · Rain 0.3mm · Humidity 80%

TIT
Titans
22% wins this season
vs
KNI
Knights
60% wins this season
45%
55%
TitansKnights
AI Pick Knights (55% probability)
Titans last 5
L W L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 39%
Knights last 5
L L L W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Titans: 3-game losing streak (hist. win next: 35%)
Knights: Recovery pattern — bouncing back from losses
📍 Suncorp Stadium HIGH

⛅ 21°C · Wind 5 km/h · Rain 0.3mm · Humidity 80%

WAR
Warriors
78% wins this season
vs
BRO
Broncos
50% wins this season
76%
24%
WarriorsBroncos
AI Pick Warriors (76% probability)
Warriors last 5
L W W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 65%
Broncos last 5
L W W L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 40%
Warriors: 4-game win streak (hist. continuation: 67%)
Broncos: Collapse pattern — was winning, now on a losing run
Warriors: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 Suncorp Stadium HIGH

⛅ 21°C · Wind 5 km/h · Rain 0.3mm · Humidity 80%

PAN
Panthers
90% wins this season
vs
DRA
Dragons
0% wins this season
82%
18%
PanthersDragons
AI Pick Panthers (82% probability)
Panthers last 5
L W W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 65%
Dragons last 5
L L L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 37%
Panthers: 4-game win streak (hist. continuation: 77%)
Dragons: 10-game losing streak (hist. win next: 0%)
Panthers: Better recent form (last 5 games)

Round 11 Summary

MatchAI PickProbabilityConfidence
Sharks vs BulldogsSharks67%MEDIUM
Rabbitohs vs DolphinsRabbitohs64%LOW
Wests Tigers vs Sea EaglesSea Eagles57%LOW
Roosters vs CowboysRoosters68%MEDIUM
Eels vs StormStorm65%LOW
Titans vs KnightsKnights55%LOW
Warriors vs BroncosWarriors76%HIGH
Panthers vs DragonsPanthers82%HIGH

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Predictions generated by the TippingEdge AI model (XGBoost + Logistic Regression ensemble, 80.6% accuracy). Model uses 2026 season data up to Round 10.

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