Our AI model has crunched the numbers for NRL 2026 Round 23 and produced its weekly predictions. The model draws on 1,489+ historical matches (2019–2026), incorporating recent form, head-to-head records, streak analysis, 5-game pattern recognition, and live weather data for every venue.
Current model accuracy: 75.0% across 2026 - see the full results tracker.
Round 23 Predictions
📍 Cbus Super Stadium
COIN FLIP
⛅ 16°C · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 81%
TITTitans
32% wins this season
vs
COWCowboys
55% wins this season
AI Pick
Titans
(52% probability)
Titans last 5
L L W W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 28%
Cowboys last 5
W W L W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 62%
📍 Go Media Stadium
MEDIUM
❄️ 8°C · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 79%
WARWarriors
68% wins this season
vs
PANPanthers
79% wins this season
AI Pick
Panthers
(69% probability)
Warriors last 5
L W W L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Panthers last 5
L W L W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
⛅ Cold conditions - 8°C
▲ Panthers: Recovery pattern - bouncing back from losses
📍 Allianz Stadium
HIGH
⛅ 12°C · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 73%
ROORoosters
74% wins this season
vs
BULBulldogs
53% wins this season
AI Pick
Roosters
(77% probability)
Roosters last 5
W W W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 64%
Bulldogs last 5
W L W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
▲ Roosters: 6-game win streak (hist. continuation: 50%)
▲ Bulldogs: 3-game win streak (hist. continuation: 46%)
📍 HBF Park
MEDIUM
⛅ 12°C · Wind 20 km/h · Rain 1.6mm · Humidity 67%
STOStorm
40% wins this season
vs
SEASea Eagles
47% wins this season
AI Pick
Storm
(66% probability)
Storm last 5
L W L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 39%
Sea Eagles last 5
W L L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 36%
▼ Storm: 3-game losing streak (hist. win next: 38%)
▼ Sea Eagles: 4-game losing streak (hist. win next: 36%)
📍 Suncorp Stadium
HIGH
⛅ 17°C · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 76%
DOLDolphins
63% wins this season
vs
BROBroncos
32% wins this season
AI Pick
Dolphins
(77% probability)
Dolphins last 5
W L L W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 58%
Broncos last 5
L L W L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 33%
▲ Dolphins: Recovery pattern - bouncing back from losses
▲ Dolphins: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 Allianz Stadium
MEDIUM
⛅ 15°C · Wind 15 km/h · Humidity 81%
RABRabbitohs
53% wins this season
vs
EELEels
37% wins this season
AI Pick
Rabbitohs
(70% probability)
Rabbitohs last 5
L W L W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Eels last 5
L W L L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
📍 GIO Stadium
COIN FLIP
🌧️ 9°C · Wind 17 km/h · Rain 13.1mm · Humidity 92%
RAIRaiders
45% wins this season
vs
KNIKnights
60% wins this season
AI Pick
Raiders
(53% probability)
Raiders last 5
W W W W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 59%
Knights last 5
W L L L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
⛅ Wet conditions - 13.1mm rain expected
⛅ Cold conditions - 9°C
▲ Raiders: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 St George Venues Jubilee Stadium
MEDIUM
⛅ 16°C · Wind 17 km/h · Rain 1.2mm · Humidity 61%
DRADragons
11% wins this season
vs
SHASharks
68% wins this season
AI Pick
Sharks
(74% probability)
Dragons last 5
L W L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 39%
Sharks last 5
W W W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 64%
▲ Sharks: 5-game win streak (hist. continuation: 43%)
▼ Dragons: 3-game losing streak (hist. win next: 37%)
▲ Sharks: Better recent form (last 5 games)
Round 23 Summary
| Match | AI Pick | Probability | Confidence |
|---|
| Titans vs Cowboys | Titans | 52% | COIN FLIP |
| Warriors vs Panthers | Panthers | 69% | MEDIUM |
| Roosters vs Bulldogs | Roosters | 77% | HIGH |
| Storm vs Sea Eagles | Storm | 66% | MEDIUM |
| Dolphins vs Broncos | Dolphins | 77% | HIGH |
| Rabbitohs vs Eels | Rabbitohs | 70% | MEDIUM |
| Raiders vs Knights | Raiders | 53% | COIN FLIP |
| Dragons vs Sharks | Sharks | 74% | MEDIUM |
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Responsible Gambling: These predictions are generated by an AI model and are for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Gamble responsibly. If gambling is causing you harm, call Gambling Help Online on 1800 858 858.
Predictions generated by the TippingEdge AI model (XGBoost + Logistic Regression ensemble, 75.0% accuracy).
Model uses 2026 season data up to Round 22.
