★ Origin 2026
State of Origin Game 1 — Wed 27 May, Accor Stadium
QLD have won the last 2 at Accor. See our pick before kickoff.
Our AI model has crunched the numbers for NRL 2026 Round 13 and produced its weekly predictions. The model draws on 1,489+ historical matches (2019–2026), incorporating recent form, head-to-head records, streak analysis, 5-game pattern recognition, and live weather data for every venue.
Current model accuracy: 80.6% across 2026 — see the full results tracker.
Round 13 Predictions
📍 Ocean Protect Stadium
LOW
⛅ 19°C · Wind 18 km/h · Rain 0.2mm · Humidity 70%
SHASharks
50% wins this season
vs
SEASea Eagles
64% wins this season
AI Pick
Sharks
(56% probability)
Sharks last 5
L L W L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Sea Eagles last 5
W L W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
▲ Sea Eagles: 3-game win streak (hist. continuation: 22%)
▲ Sea Eagles: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 McDonald Jones Stadium
MEDIUM
⛅ 17°C · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 65%
KNIKnights
64% wins this season
vs
EELEels
36% wins this season
AI Pick
Knights
(66% probability)
Knights last 5
L L W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Eels last 5
W L L W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 37%
▲ Knights: 3-game win streak (hist. continuation: 68%)
▲ Knights: Recovery pattern — bouncing back from losses
📍 CommBank Stadium
COIN FLIP
⛅ 15°C · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 67%
WESWests Tigers
50% wins this season
vs
BULBulldogs
36% wins this season
AI Pick
Wests Tigers
(52% probability)
Wests Tigers last 5
L W L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 39%
Bulldogs last 5
L L L L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 42%
▼ Wests Tigers: 3-game losing streak (hist. win next: 28%)
📍 AAMI Park
LOW
🌧️ 13°C · Wind 8 km/h · Rain 3.1mm · Humidity 84%
STOStorm
33% wins this season
vs
ROORoosters
70% wins this season
AI Pick
Roosters
(62% probability)
Storm last 5
L L W W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 28%
Roosters last 5
W W W W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 59%
⛅ Wet conditions — 3.1mm rain expected
▲ Roosters: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 Suncorp Stadium
HIGH
⛅ 17°C · Wind 13 km/h · Humidity 58%
BROBroncos
45% wins this season
vs
DRADragons
0% wins this season
AI Pick
Broncos
(85% probability)
Broncos last 5
W W L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Dragons last 5
L L L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 37%
▼ Broncos: 3-game losing streak (hist. win next: 32%)
▼ Dragons: 10-game losing streak (hist. win next: 0%)
⚠ Broncos: Collapse pattern — was winning, now on a losing run
▲ Broncos: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 GIO Stadium
MEDIUM
❄️ 8°C · Wind 12 km/h · Humidity 74%
RAIRaiders
36% wins this season
vs
COWCowboys
67% wins this season
AI Pick
Cowboys
(66% probability)
Raiders last 5
W L W L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Cowboys last 5
W W L W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 59%
⛅ Cold conditions — 8°C
⚠ Raiders: Collapse pattern — was winning, now on a losing run
▲ Cowboys: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 CommBank Stadium
MEDIUM
⛅ 14°C · Wind 13 km/h · Humidity 61%
PANPanthers
91% wins this season
vs
WARWarriors
82% wins this season
AI Pick
Panthers
(70% probability)
Panthers last 5
W W W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 64%
Warriors last 5
W W W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 64%
▲ Panthers: 5-game win streak (hist. continuation: 76%)
▲ Warriors: 6-game win streak (hist. continuation: 50%)
Round 13 Summary
| Match | AI Pick | Probability | Confidence |
|---|
| Sharks vs Sea Eagles | Sharks | 56% | LOW |
| Knights vs Eels | Knights | 66% | MEDIUM |
| Wests Tigers vs Bulldogs | Wests Tigers | 52% | COIN FLIP |
| Storm vs Roosters | Roosters | 62% | LOW |
| Broncos vs Dragons | Broncos | 85% | HIGH |
| Raiders vs Cowboys | Cowboys | 66% | MEDIUM |
| Panthers vs Warriors | Panthers | 70% | MEDIUM |
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Responsible Gambling: These predictions are generated by an AI model and are for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Gamble responsibly. If gambling is causing you harm, call Gambling Help Online on 1800 858 858.
Predictions generated by the TippingEdge AI model (XGBoost + Logistic Regression ensemble, 80.6% accuracy).
Model uses 2026 season data up to Round 12.