★ Origin 2026
State of Origin Game 1 — Wed 27 May, Accor Stadium
QLD have won the last 2 at Accor. See our pick before kickoff.
Our AI model has crunched the numbers for NRL 2026 Round 12 and produced its weekly predictions. The model draws on 1,489+ historical matches (2019–2026), incorporating recent form, head-to-head records, streak analysis, 5-game pattern recognition, and live weather data for every venue.
Current model accuracy: 80.6% across 2026 — see the full results tracker.
Round 12 Predictions
📍 GIO Stadium
LOW
❄️ 10°C · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 69%
RAIRaiders
40% wins this season
vs
DOLDolphins
50% wins this season
AI Pick
Dolphins
(61% probability)
Raiders last 5
W W L W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 62%
Dolphins last 5
L L W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
⛅ Cold conditions — 10°C
▲ Dolphins: 3-game win streak (hist. continuation: 0%)
▲ Dolphins: Recovery pattern — bouncing back from losses
📍 Accor Stadium
MEDIUM
⛅ 16°C · Wind 9 km/h · Rain 0.8mm · Humidity 80%
BULBulldogs
30% wins this season
vs
STOStorm
36% wins this season
AI Pick
Storm
(71% probability)
Bulldogs last 5
L L L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 37%
Storm last 5
L L L W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
▼ Bulldogs: 5-game losing streak (hist. win next: 40%)
▲ Storm: Recovery pattern — bouncing back from losses
▲ Storm: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 St George Venues Jubilee Stadium
HIGH
⛅ 17°C · Wind 12 km/h · Rain 1.9mm · Humidity 84%
DRADragons
0% wins this season
vs
WARWarriors
80% wins this season
AI Pick
Warriors
(81% probability)
Dragons last 5
L L L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 37%
Warriors last 5
W W W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 64%
▲ Warriors: 5-game win streak (hist. continuation: 50%)
▼ Dragons: 10-game losing streak (hist. win next: 0%)
▲ Warriors: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 4 Pines Park
HIGH
🌧️ 16°C · Wind 11 km/h · Rain 4.9mm · Humidity 95%
SEASea Eagles
60% wins this season
vs
TITTitans
20% wins this season
AI Pick
Sea Eagles
(79% probability)
Sea Eagles last 5
W W L W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 59%
Titans last 5
W L L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 36%
⛅ Wet conditions — 4.9mm rain expected
▼ Titans: 4-game losing streak (hist. win next: 36%)
▲ Sea Eagles: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 Queensland Country Bank Stadium
MEDIUM
⛅ 22°C · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 64%
COWCowboys
64% wins this season
vs
RABRabbitohs
60% wins this season
AI Pick
Rabbitohs
(66% probability)
Cowboys last 5
L W W L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Rabbitohs last 5
W W L W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 62%
Round 12 Summary
| Match | AI Pick | Probability | Confidence |
|---|
| Raiders vs Dolphins | Dolphins | 61% | LOW |
| Bulldogs vs Storm | Storm | 71% | MEDIUM |
| Dragons vs Warriors | Warriors | 81% | HIGH |
| Sea Eagles vs Titans | Sea Eagles | 79% | HIGH |
| Cowboys vs Rabbitohs | Rabbitohs | 66% | MEDIUM |
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Responsible Gambling: These predictions are generated by an AI model and are for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Gamble responsibly. If gambling is causing you harm, call Gambling Help Online on 1800 858 858.
Predictions generated by the TippingEdge AI model (XGBoost + Logistic Regression ensemble, 80.6% accuracy).
Model uses 2026 season data up to Round 11.
