Our AI model has crunched the numbers for NRL 2026 Round 24 and produced its weekly predictions. The model draws on 1,489+ historical matches (2019–2026), incorporating recent form, head-to-head records, streak analysis, 5-game pattern recognition, and live weather data for every venue.
Current model accuracy: 73.8% across 2026 - see the full results tracker.
Round 24 Predictions
📍 CommBank Stadium
LOW
⛅ 14°C · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 64%
PANPanthers
75% wins this season
vs
ROORoosters
75% wins this season
AI Pick
Panthers
(60% probability)
Panthers last 5
W L W W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Roosters last 5
W W W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 64%
▲ Roosters: 7-game win streak (hist. continuation: 40%)
▲ Roosters: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 4 Pines Park
LOW
⛅ 14°C · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 80%
SEASea Eagles
45% wins this season
vs
DOLDolphins
65% wins this season
AI Pick
Dolphins
(62% probability)
Sea Eagles last 5
L L L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 37%
Dolphins last 5
L L W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
▲ Dolphins: 3-game win streak (hist. continuation: 45%)
▼ Sea Eagles: 5-game losing streak (hist. win next: 43%)
▲ Dolphins: Recovery pattern - bouncing back from losses
▲ Dolphins: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 Accor Stadium
MEDIUM
⛅ 14°C · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 79%
BULBulldogs
50% wins this season
vs
RABRabbitohs
55% wins this season
AI Pick
Bulldogs
(71% probability)
Bulldogs last 5
L W W W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 69%
Rabbitohs last 5
W L W L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
📍 Ocean Protect Stadium
HIGH
🌧️ 14°C · Wind 11 km/h · Rain 3.9mm · Humidity 88%
SHASharks
65% wins this season
vs
RAIRaiders
43% wins this season
AI Pick
Sharks
(84% probability)
Sharks last 5
W W W W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 59%
Raiders last 5
W W W L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
⛅ Wet conditions - 3.9mm rain expected
⚠ Raiders: Collapse pattern - was winning, now on a losing run
▲ Sharks: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 CommBank Stadium
COIN FLIP
⛅ 13°C · Wind 9 km/h · Rain 0.4mm · Humidity 72%
EELEels
35% wins this season
vs
COWCowboys
57% wins this season
AI Pick
Cowboys
(51% probability)
Eels last 5
W L L W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 37%
Cowboys last 5
W L W L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
📍 Suncorp Stadium
MEDIUM
⛅ 16°C · Wind 9 km/h · Rain 0.7mm · Humidity 81%
BROBroncos
30% wins this season
vs
WARWarriors
70% wins this season
AI Pick
Warriors
(74% probability)
Broncos last 5
L W L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 39%
Warriors last 5
W W L W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 59%
▼ Broncos: 3-game losing streak (hist. win next: 30%)
▲ Warriors: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 McDonald Jones Stadium
HIGH
🌧️ 15°C · Wind 16 km/h · Rain 5.2mm · Humidity 83%
KNIKnights
62% wins this season
vs
TITTitans
30% wins this season
AI Pick
Knights
(85% probability)
Knights last 5
L L L W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Titans last 5
L W W L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 40%
⛅ Wet conditions - 5.2mm rain expected
⚠ Titans: Collapse pattern - was winning, now on a losing run
▲ Knights: Recovery pattern - bouncing back from losses
📍 CommBank Stadium
LOW
🌧️ 14°C · Wind 9 km/h · Rain 2.2mm · Humidity 81%
WESWests Tigers
35% wins this season
vs
DRADragons
15% wins this season
AI Pick
Wests Tigers
(56% probability)
Wests Tigers last 5
L L L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 37%
Dragons last 5
W L L L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
⛅ Wet conditions - 2.2mm rain expected
▼ Wests Tigers: 7-game losing streak (hist. win next: 35%)
▲ Dragons: Better recent form (last 5 games)
Round 24 Summary
| Match | AI Pick | Probability | Confidence |
|---|
| Panthers vs Roosters | Panthers | 60% | LOW |
| Sea Eagles vs Dolphins | Dolphins | 62% | LOW |
| Bulldogs vs Rabbitohs | Bulldogs | 71% | MEDIUM |
| Sharks vs Raiders | Sharks | 84% | HIGH |
| Eels vs Cowboys | Cowboys | 51% | COIN FLIP |
| Broncos vs Warriors | Warriors | 74% | MEDIUM |
| Knights vs Titans | Knights | 85% | HIGH |
| Wests Tigers vs Dragons | Wests Tigers | 56% | LOW |
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Predictions generated by the TippingEdge AI model (XGBoost + Logistic Regression ensemble, 73.8% accuracy).
Model uses 2026 season data up to Round 23.