Our AI model has crunched the numbers for NRL 2026 Round 26 and produced its weekly predictions. The model draws on 1,489+ historical matches (2019–2026), incorporating recent form, head-to-head records, streak analysis, 5-game pattern recognition, and live weather data for every venue.
Current model accuracy: 72.3% across 2026 - see the full results tracker.
Round 26 Predictions
📍 Suncorp Stadium
LOW
⛅ 18°C · Wind 9 km/h · Rain 0.5mm · Humidity 78%
BROBroncos
32% wins this season
vs
STOStorm
41% wins this season
AI Pick
Storm
(62% probability)
Broncos last 5
L L L L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 42%
Storm last 5
L L L W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
📍 4 Pines Park
HIGH
⛅ 15°C · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 84%
SEASea Eagles
45% wins this season
vs
DRADragons
18% wins this season
AI Pick
Sea Eagles
(89% probability)
Sea Eagles last 5
L L L L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 42%
Dragons last 5
L L W W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 28%
📍 CommBank Stadium
HIGH
⛅ 16°C · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 82%
PANPanthers
73% wins this season
vs
BULBulldogs
50% wins this season
AI Pick
Panthers
(82% probability)
Panthers last 5
W W L L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Bulldogs last 5
W W L L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
📍 Cbus Super Stadium
LOW
⛅ 17°C · Wind 13 km/h · Humidity 73%
TITTitans
27% wins this season
vs
RABRabbitohs
55% wins this season
AI Pick
Rabbitohs
(55% probability)
Titans last 5
W L L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 36%
Rabbitohs last 5
W L W W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
▼ Titans: 4-game losing streak (hist. win next: 37%)
▲ Rabbitohs: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 Allianz Stadium
LOW
⛅ 15°C · Wind 8 km/h · Rain 0.2mm · Humidity 76%
ROORoosters
73% wins this season
vs
DOLDolphins
68% wins this season
AI Pick
Roosters
(57% probability)
Roosters last 5
W W W W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 59%
Dolphins last 5
W W W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 64%
▲ Dolphins: 5-game win streak (hist. continuation: 75%)
📍 Queensland Country Bank Stadium
MEDIUM
⛅ 22°C · Wind 20 km/h · Humidity 68%
COWCowboys
55% wins this season
vs
WESWests Tigers
36% wins this season
AI Pick
Cowboys
(69% probability)
Cowboys last 5
L W L W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Wests Tigers last 5
L L L L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 42%
📍 Go Media Stadium
HIGH
⛅ 12°C · Wind 13 km/h · Rain 0.6mm · Humidity 71%
WARWarriors
73% wins this season
vs
KNIKnights
61% wins this season
AI Pick
Warriors
(78% probability)
Warriors last 5
L W W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 65%
Knights last 5
L W W W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 69%
▲ Warriors: 4-game win streak (hist. continuation: 67%)
▲ Warriors: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 CommBank Stadium
MEDIUM
⛅ 15°C · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 78%
EELEels
36% wins this season
vs
SHASharks
64% wins this season
AI Pick
Sharks
(72% probability)
Eels last 5
L W L W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Sharks last 5
W W L L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Round 26 Summary
| Match | AI Pick | Probability | Confidence |
|---|
| Broncos vs Storm | Storm | 62% | LOW |
| Sea Eagles vs Dragons | Sea Eagles | 89% | HIGH |
| Panthers vs Bulldogs | Panthers | 82% | HIGH |
| Titans vs Rabbitohs | Rabbitohs | 55% | LOW |
| Roosters vs Dolphins | Roosters | 57% | LOW |
| Cowboys vs Wests Tigers | Cowboys | 69% | MEDIUM |
| Warriors vs Knights | Warriors | 78% | HIGH |
| Eels vs Sharks | Sharks | 72% | MEDIUM |
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Predictions generated by the TippingEdge AI model (XGBoost + Logistic Regression ensemble, 72.3% accuracy).
Model uses 2026 season data up to Round 25.