NRL 2026 Round 17 Tips & Predictions – AI Model Picks

Our AI model has crunched the numbers for NRL 2026 Round 17 and produced its weekly predictions. The model draws on 1,489+ historical matches (2019–2026), incorporating recent form, head-to-head records, streak analysis, 5-game pattern recognition, and live weather data for every venue.

Current model accuracy: 74.2% across 2026 - see the full results tracker.


Round 17 Predictions

📍 CommBank Stadium MEDIUM

⛅ 14°C · Wind 2 km/h · Rain 0.7mm · Humidity 81%

EEL
Eels
36% wins this season
vs
RAB
Rabbitohs
54% wins this season
26%
74%
EelsRabbitohs
AI Pick Rabbitohs (74% probability)
Eels last 5
W L L L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Rabbitohs last 5
W L L L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
📍 Cbus Super Stadium LOW

⛅ 15°C · Wind 12 km/h · Rain 1.9mm · Humidity 87%

TIT
Titans
29% wins this season
vs
BUL
Bulldogs
43% wins this season
61%
39%
TitansBulldogs
AI Pick Titans (61% probability)
Titans last 5
L L W L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Bulldogs last 5
L W L W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Bulldogs: Recovery pattern - bouncing back from losses
📍 Suncorp Stadium HIGH

⛅ 16°C · Wind 9 km/h · Rain 0.5mm · Humidity 80%

BRO
Broncos
36% wins this season
vs
ROO
Roosters
64% wins this season
22%
78%
BroncosRoosters
AI Pick Roosters (78% probability)
Broncos last 5
L L L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 37%
Roosters last 5
L L W L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Broncos: 6-game losing streak (hist. win next: 30%)
Roosters: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 Suncorp Stadium LOW

⛅ 16°C · Wind 9 km/h · Rain 1.1mm · Humidity 84%

DOL
Dolphins
64% wins this season
vs
WAR
Warriors
71% wins this season
60%
40%
DolphinsWarriors
AI Pick Dolphins (60% probability)
Dolphins last 5
W W W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 64%
Warriors last 5
W W L L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Dolphins: 7-game win streak (hist. continuation: 50%)
Dolphins: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 Queensland Country Bank Stadium HIGH

⛅ 23°C · Wind 11 km/h · Rain 0.9mm · Humidity 69%

COW
Cowboys
53% wins this season
vs
PAN
Panthers
86% wins this season
24%
76%
CowboysPanthers
AI Pick Panthers (76% probability)
Cowboys last 5
W W L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Panthers last 5
W W W W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 59%
Cowboys: 3-game losing streak (hist. win next: 43%)
Cowboys: Collapse pattern - was winning, now on a losing run
Panthers: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 4 Pines Park HIGH

⛅ 13°C · Wind 4 km/h · Rain 0.9mm · Humidity 82%

SEA
Sea Eagles
57% wins this season
vs
STO
Storm
47% wins this season
80%
20%
Sea EaglesStorm
AI Pick Sea Eagles (80% probability)
Sea Eagles last 5
W W L W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 62%
Storm last 5
W L W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Storm: 3-game win streak (hist. continuation: 74%)
Storm: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 GIO Stadium HIGH

❄️ 11°C · Wind 7 km/h · Rain 0.5mm · Humidity 78%

RAI
Raiders
33% wins this season
vs
DRA
Dragons
7% wins this season
86%
14%
RaidersDragons
AI Pick Raiders (86% probability)
Raiders last 5
L W L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 39%
Dragons last 5
L L W L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 33%
⛅ Cold conditions - 11°C
Raiders: 3-game losing streak (hist. win next: 60%)
📍 McDonald Jones Stadium HIGH

⛅ 16°C · Wind 14 km/h · Rain 0.4mm · Humidity 78%

KNI
Knights
64% wins this season
vs
WES
Wests Tigers
50% wins this season
81%
19%
KnightsWests Tigers
AI Pick Knights (81% probability)
Knights last 5
W W W L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 59%
Wests Tigers last 5
L W L W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Knights: Better recent form (last 5 games)

Round 17 Summary

MatchAI PickProbabilityConfidence
Eels vs RabbitohsRabbitohs74%MEDIUM
Titans vs BulldogsTitans61%LOW
Broncos vs RoostersRoosters78%HIGH
Dolphins vs WarriorsDolphins60%LOW
Cowboys vs PanthersPanthers76%HIGH
Sea Eagles vs StormSea Eagles80%HIGH
Raiders vs DragonsRaiders86%HIGH
Knights vs Wests TigersKnights81%HIGH

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Responsible Gambling: These predictions are generated by an AI model and are for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Gamble responsibly. If gambling is causing you harm, call Gambling Help Online on 1800 858 858.

Predictions generated by the TippingEdge AI model (XGBoost + Logistic Regression ensemble, 74.2% accuracy). Model uses 2026 season data up to Round 16.

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