★ Origin 2026
State of Origin Game 1 — Wed 27 May, Accor Stadium
QLD have won the last 2 at Accor. See our pick before kickoff.
Our AI model has crunched the numbers for NRL 2026 Round 14 and produced its weekly predictions. The model draws on 1,489+ historical matches (2019–2026), incorporating recent form, head-to-head records, streak analysis, 5-game pattern recognition, and live weather data for every venue.
Current model accuracy: 80.6% across 2026 — see the full results tracker.
Round 14 Predictions
📍 4 Pines Park
HIGH
⛅ 13°C · Wind 19 km/h · Humidity 60%
SEASea Eagles
58% wins this season
vs
RABRabbitohs
55% wins this season
AI Pick
Sea Eagles
(80% probability)
Sea Eagles last 5
L W W W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 69%
Rabbitohs last 5
W L W L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
⚠ Rabbitohs: Collapse pattern — was winning, now on a losing run
📍 AAMI Park
COIN FLIP
⛅ 12°C · Wind 9 km/h · Rain 0.2mm · Humidity 70%
STOStorm
38% wins this season
vs
KNIKnights
67% wins this season
AI Pick
Knights
(55% probability)
Storm last 5
L W W L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Knights last 5
L W W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 65%
▲ Knights: 4-game win streak (hist. continuation: 69%)
▲ Knights: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 GIO Stadium
MEDIUM
❄️ 9°C · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 66%
RAIRaiders
42% wins this season
vs
ROORoosters
64% wins this season
AI Pick
Roosters
(65% probability)
Raiders last 5
L W L L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Roosters last 5
W W W L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
⛅ Cold conditions — 9°C
⚠ Roosters: Collapse pattern — was winning, now on a losing run
📍 Queensland Country Bank Stadium
MEDIUM
⛅ 19°C · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 39%
COWCowboys
62% wins this season
vs
DOLDolphins
55% wins this season
AI Pick
Dolphins
(68% probability)
Cowboys last 5
W L W W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Dolphins last 5
L W W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 65%
▲ Dolphins: 4-game win streak (hist. continuation: 50%)
▲ Dolphins: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 Suncorp Stadium
LOW
⛅ 16°C · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 68%
BROBroncos
42% wins this season
vs
TITTitans
18% wins this season
AI Pick
Broncos
(61% probability)
Broncos last 5
W L L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 36%
Titans last 5
L L L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 37%
▼ Broncos: 4-game losing streak (hist. win next: 38%)
▼ Titans: 5-game losing streak (hist. win next: 30%)
📍 CommBank Stadium
MEDIUM
⛅ 14°C · Wind 3 km/h · Humidity 83%
WESWests Tigers
55% wins this season
vs
PANPanthers
92% wins this season
AI Pick
Panthers
(75% probability)
Wests Tigers last 5
W L L L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Panthers last 5
W W W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 64%
▲ Panthers: 6-game win streak (hist. continuation: 82%)
▲ Panthers: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 Ocean Protect Stadium
MEDIUM
🌧️ 15°C · Wind 6 km/h · Rain 2.4mm · Humidity 93%
SHASharks
55% wins this season
vs
DRADragons
8% wins this season
AI Pick
Sharks
(73% probability)
Sharks last 5
L W L W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Dragons last 5
L L L L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 42%
⛅ Wet conditions — 2.4mm rain expected
▲ Sharks: Recovery pattern — bouncing back from losses
▲ Sharks: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 Accor Stadium
HIGH
⛅ 22°C · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 60%
BULBulldogs
33% wins this season
vs
EELEels
33% wins this season
AI Pick
Bulldogs
(77% probability)
Bulldogs last 5
L L L W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Eels last 5
L L W L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 33%
Round 14 Summary
| Match | AI Pick | Probability | Confidence |
|---|
| Sea Eagles vs Rabbitohs | Sea Eagles | 80% | HIGH |
| Storm vs Knights | Knights | 55% | COIN FLIP |
| Raiders vs Roosters | Roosters | 65% | MEDIUM |
| Cowboys vs Dolphins | Dolphins | 68% | MEDIUM |
| Broncos vs Titans | Broncos | 61% | LOW |
| Wests Tigers vs Panthers | Panthers | 75% | MEDIUM |
| Sharks vs Dragons | Sharks | 73% | MEDIUM |
| Bulldogs vs Eels | Bulldogs | 77% | HIGH |
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Predictions generated by the TippingEdge AI model (XGBoost + Logistic Regression ensemble, 80.6% accuracy).
Model uses 2026 season data up to Round 13.