NRL 2026 Round 14 Tips & Predictions — AI Model Picks

★ Origin 2026
State of Origin Game 1 — Wed 27 May, Accor Stadium
QLD have won the last 2 at Accor. See our pick before kickoff.

Our AI model has crunched the numbers for NRL 2026 Round 14 and produced its weekly predictions. The model draws on 1,489+ historical matches (2019–2026), incorporating recent form, head-to-head records, streak analysis, 5-game pattern recognition, and live weather data for every venue.

Current model accuracy: 80.6% across 2026 — see the full results tracker.


Round 14 Predictions

📍 4 Pines Park HIGH

⛅ 13°C · Wind 19 km/h · Humidity 60%

SEA
Sea Eagles
58% wins this season
vs
RAB
Rabbitohs
55% wins this season
80%
20%
Sea EaglesRabbitohs
AI Pick Sea Eagles (80% probability)
Sea Eagles last 5
L W W W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 69%
Rabbitohs last 5
W L W L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Rabbitohs: Collapse pattern — was winning, now on a losing run
📍 AAMI Park COIN FLIP

⛅ 12°C · Wind 9 km/h · Rain 0.2mm · Humidity 70%

STO
Storm
38% wins this season
vs
KNI
Knights
67% wins this season
45%
55%
StormKnights
AI Pick Knights (55% probability)
Storm last 5
L W W L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Knights last 5
L W W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 65%
Knights: 4-game win streak (hist. continuation: 69%)
Knights: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 GIO Stadium MEDIUM

❄️ 9°C · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 66%

RAI
Raiders
42% wins this season
vs
ROO
Roosters
64% wins this season
35%
65%
RaidersRoosters
AI Pick Roosters (65% probability)
Raiders last 5
L W L L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Roosters last 5
W W W L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
⛅ Cold conditions — 9°C
Roosters: Collapse pattern — was winning, now on a losing run
📍 Queensland Country Bank Stadium MEDIUM

⛅ 19°C · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 39%

COW
Cowboys
62% wins this season
vs
DOL
Dolphins
55% wins this season
32%
68%
CowboysDolphins
AI Pick Dolphins (68% probability)
Cowboys last 5
W L W W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Dolphins last 5
L W W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 65%
Dolphins: 4-game win streak (hist. continuation: 50%)
Dolphins: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 Suncorp Stadium LOW

⛅ 16°C · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 68%

BRO
Broncos
42% wins this season
vs
TIT
Titans
18% wins this season
61%
39%
BroncosTitans
AI Pick Broncos (61% probability)
Broncos last 5
W L L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 36%
Titans last 5
L L L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 37%
Broncos: 4-game losing streak (hist. win next: 38%)
Titans: 5-game losing streak (hist. win next: 30%)
📍 CommBank Stadium MEDIUM

⛅ 14°C · Wind 3 km/h · Humidity 83%

WES
Wests Tigers
55% wins this season
vs
PAN
Panthers
92% wins this season
25%
75%
Wests TigersPanthers
AI Pick Panthers (75% probability)
Wests Tigers last 5
W L L L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Panthers last 5
W W W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 64%
Panthers: 6-game win streak (hist. continuation: 82%)
Panthers: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 Ocean Protect Stadium MEDIUM

🌧️ 15°C · Wind 6 km/h · Rain 2.4mm · Humidity 93%

SHA
Sharks
55% wins this season
vs
DRA
Dragons
8% wins this season
73%
27%
SharksDragons
AI Pick Sharks (73% probability)
Sharks last 5
L W L W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Dragons last 5
L L L L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 42%
⛅ Wet conditions — 2.4mm rain expected
Sharks: Recovery pattern — bouncing back from losses
Sharks: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 Accor Stadium HIGH

⛅ 22°C · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 60%

BUL
Bulldogs
33% wins this season
vs
EEL
Eels
33% wins this season
77%
23%
BulldogsEels
AI Pick Bulldogs (77% probability)
Bulldogs last 5
L L L W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Eels last 5
L L W L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 33%

Round 14 Summary

MatchAI PickProbabilityConfidence
Sea Eagles vs RabbitohsSea Eagles80%HIGH
Storm vs KnightsKnights55%COIN FLIP
Raiders vs RoostersRoosters65%MEDIUM
Cowboys vs DolphinsDolphins68%MEDIUM
Broncos vs TitansBroncos61%LOW
Wests Tigers vs PanthersPanthers75%MEDIUM
Sharks vs DragonsSharks73%MEDIUM
Bulldogs vs EelsBulldogs77%HIGH

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Predictions generated by the TippingEdge AI model (XGBoost + Logistic Regression ensemble, 80.6% accuracy). Model uses 2026 season data up to Round 13.

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