NRL Predictions 2026 – Machine Learning Win Probabilities

● Live Model - 2026 Season

NRL Predictions 2026

ML-powered match outcome predictions using 53 statistical features, live weather, and 5-game pattern recognition - updated each week.

63% held-out accuracy
53 input features
8 games modelled
+13 pts vs coin flip

This Week's Predictions

Updated every round

Our model re-runs all 8 games each week as soon as teams and weather firm up. The full match-by-match breakdown - win probabilities, confidence tiers, line leans and weather flags - is published in the weekly round preview, and every pick is graded on the public tracker afterwards.

Want the model's read on a specific club? Each of the 17 teams has a dedicated, auto-updated form guide covering recent results, streak patterns and betting angles - find them linked from the weekly tips hub or your team's tips page.

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