Our AI model has crunched the numbers for NRL 2026 Round 25 and produced its weekly predictions. The model draws on 1,489+ historical matches (2019–2026), incorporating recent form, head-to-head records, streak analysis, 5-game pattern recognition, and live weather data for every venue.
Current model accuracy: 75.0% across 2026 - see the full results tracker.
Round 25 Predictions
📍 AAMI Park
MEDIUM
🌧️ 14°C · Wind 12 km/h · Rain 4.6mm · Humidity 69%
STOStorm
43% wins this season
vs
PANPanthers
71% wins this season
AI Pick
Storm
(66% probability)
Storm last 5
W L L L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Panthers last 5
L W W L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 40%
⛅ Wet conditions - 4.6mm rain expected
⚠ Panthers: Collapse pattern - was winning, now on a losing run
📍 GIO Stadium
HIGH
❄️ 11°C · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 69%
RAIRaiders
45% wins this season
vs
BROBroncos
29% wins this season
AI Pick
Raiders
(79% probability)
Raiders last 5
W W L L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Broncos last 5
W L L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 36%
⛅ Cold conditions - 11°C
▼ Broncos: 4-game losing streak (hist. win next: 35%)
▲ Raiders: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 Suncorp Stadium
HIGH
⛅ 17°C · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 73%
DOLDolphins
67% wins this season
vs
EELEels
38% wins this season
AI Pick
Dolphins
(81% probability)
Dolphins last 5
L W W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 65%
Eels last 5
L L W L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
▲ Dolphins: 4-game win streak (hist. continuation: 80%)
▲ Dolphins: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 McDonald Jones Stadium
LOW
⛅ 17°C · Wind 14 km/h · Rain 0.3mm · Humidity 70%
KNIKnights
64% wins this season
vs
SEASea Eagles
43% wins this season
AI Pick
Knights
(57% probability)
Knights last 5
L L W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Sea Eagles last 5
L L L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 37%
▲ Knights: 3-game win streak (hist. continuation: 64%)
▼ Sea Eagles: 6-game losing streak (hist. win next: 75%)
▲ Knights: Recovery pattern - bouncing back from losses
▲ Knights: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 Accor Stadium
LOW
⛅ 15°C · Wind 8 km/h · Rain 0.2mm · Humidity 81%
RABRabbitohs
57% wins this season
vs
WARWarriors
71% wins this season
AI Pick
Warriors
(63% probability)
Rabbitohs last 5
L W L W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Warriors last 5
W L W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
▲ Warriors: 3-game win streak (hist. continuation: 45%)
▲ Rabbitohs: Recovery pattern - bouncing back from losses
▲ Warriors: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 Allianz Stadium
LOW
⛅ 15°C · Wind 11 km/h · Rain 0.2mm · Humidity 80%
DRADragons
19% wins this season
vs
BULBulldogs
48% wins this season
AI Pick
Bulldogs
(58% probability)
Dragons last 5
L L L W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Bulldogs last 5
W W W L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
⚠ Bulldogs: Collapse pattern - was winning, now on a losing run
▲ Dragons: Recovery pattern - bouncing back from losses
📍 Cbus Super Stadium
HIGH
⛅ 17°C · Wind 9 km/h · Rain 0.9mm · Humidity 86%
TITTitans
29% wins this season
vs
SHASharks
62% wins this season
AI Pick
Sharks
(78% probability)
Titans last 5
W W L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Sharks last 5
W W W L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
▼ Titans: 3-game losing streak (hist. win next: 34%)
⚠ Titans: Collapse pattern - was winning, now on a losing run
⚠ Sharks: Collapse pattern - was winning, now on a losing run
📍 Allianz Stadium
HIGH
⛅ 16°C · Wind 11 km/h · Rain 0.2mm · Humidity 77%
ROORoosters
76% wins this season
vs
WESWests Tigers
33% wins this season
AI Pick
Roosters
(85% probability)
Roosters last 5
W W W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 64%
Wests Tigers last 5
L L L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 37%
▲ Roosters: 8-game win streak (hist. continuation: 0%)
▼ Wests Tigers: 8-game losing streak (hist. win next: 36%)
▲ Roosters: Better recent form (last 5 games)
Round 25 Summary
| Match | AI Pick | Probability | Confidence |
|---|
| Storm vs Panthers | Storm | 66% | MEDIUM |
| Raiders vs Broncos | Raiders | 79% | HIGH |
| Dolphins vs Eels | Dolphins | 81% | HIGH |
| Knights vs Sea Eagles | Knights | 57% | LOW |
| Rabbitohs vs Warriors | Warriors | 63% | LOW |
| Dragons vs Bulldogs | Bulldogs | 58% | LOW |
| Titans vs Sharks | Sharks | 78% | HIGH |
| Roosters vs Wests Tigers | Roosters | 85% | HIGH |
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Predictions generated by the TippingEdge AI model (XGBoost + Logistic Regression ensemble, 75.0% accuracy).
Model uses 2026 season data up to Round 24.
