Our AI model has crunched the numbers for NRL 2026 Round 15 and produced its weekly predictions. The model draws on 1,489+ historical matches (2019–2026), incorporating recent form, head-to-head records, streak analysis, 5-game pattern recognition, and live weather data for every venue.
Current model accuracy: 76.9% across 2026 — see the full results tracker.
Round 15 Predictions
📍 Accor Stadium
LOW
⛅ 14°C · Wind 3 km/h · Rain 0.6mm · Humidity 93%
RABRabbitohs
50% wins this season
vs
BROBroncos
38% wins this season
AI Pick
Rabbitohs
(64% probability)
Rabbitohs last 5
L W L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 39%
Broncos last 5
L L L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 37%
▼ Rabbitohs: 3-game losing streak (hist. win next: 33%)
▼ Broncos: 5-game losing streak (hist. win next: 23%)
📍 Suncorp Stadium
LOW
⛅ 18°C · Wind 8 km/h · Rain 0.2mm · Humidity 86%
DOLDolphins
58% wins this season
vs
ROORoosters
67% wins this season
AI Pick
Dolphins
(58% probability)
Dolphins last 5
W W W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 64%
Roosters last 5
W W L L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
▲ Dolphins: 5-game win streak (hist. continuation: 50%)
▲ Dolphins: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 Go Media Stadium
MEDIUM
❄️ 11°C · Wind 2 km/h · Humidity 90%
WARWarriors
75% wins this season
vs
SHASharks
58% wins this season
AI Pick
Warriors
(73% probability)
Warriors last 5
W W W W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 59%
Sharks last 5
W L W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
⛅ Cold conditions — 11°C
▲ Sharks: 3-game win streak (hist. continuation: 52%)
📍 CommBank Stadium
LOW
⛅ 19°C · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 66%
EELEels
31% wins this season
vs
RAIRaiders
38% wins this season
AI Pick
Eels
(55% probability)
Eels last 5
L W L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 39%
Raiders last 5
W L L W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 37%
▼ Eels: 3-game losing streak (hist. win next: 50%)
📍 Leichhardt Oval
COIN FLIP
⛅ 16°C · Wind 6 km/h · Rain 0.4mm · Humidity 85%
WESWests Tigers
50% wins this season
vs
TITTitans
25% wins this season
AI Pick
Wests Tigers
(54% probability)
Wests Tigers last 5
L L L W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Titans last 5
L L L L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 42%
Round 15 Summary
| Match | AI Pick | Probability | Confidence |
|---|
| Rabbitohs vs Broncos | Rabbitohs | 64% | LOW |
| Dolphins vs Roosters | Dolphins | 58% | LOW |
| Warriors vs Sharks | Warriors | 73% | MEDIUM |
| Eels vs Raiders | Eels | 55% | LOW |
| Wests Tigers vs Titans | Wests Tigers | 54% | COIN FLIP |
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Responsible Gambling: These predictions are generated by an AI model and are for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Gamble responsibly. If gambling is causing you harm, call Gambling Help Online on 1800 858 858.
Predictions generated by the TippingEdge AI model (XGBoost + Logistic Regression ensemble, 76.9% accuracy).
Model uses 2026 season data up to Round 14.
