NRL Prediction Accuracy — Live Model Results Tracker

2026 Season · 10 Rounds Completed
81.2%
65 of 80 games predicted correctly
Model: XGBoost + Logistic Regression ensemble · 1,489+ historical matches

Every prediction on this page was generated by the TippingEdge AI model before each round was played, using only data available at that point in the season. No results have been cherry-picked or adjusted retroactively.

Rounds 1–8 were published as retroactive model runs (the site launched in April 2026). Rounds 9 onwards are live predictions published each week before kick-off.

Accuracy by Confidence Tier

TierCorrectAccuracy bar%
HIGH15/18
83%
MEDIUM24/29
83%
LOW20/24
83%
COIN FLIP6/9
67%

HIGH = model ≥75% confident · MEDIUM = 65–74% · LOW = 57–64% · COIN FLIP = 50–56%

Round-by-Round Results

Round 10
6/8 correct
75.0% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Dolphins vs BulldogsDolphinsMEDIUM 73%Dolphins (44–12)✅
Roosters vs TitansRoostersHIGH 78%Roosters (28–12)✅
Cowboys vs EelsCowboysMEDIUM 68%Eels (30–33)❌
Dragons vs KnightsKnightsMEDIUM 70%Knights (10–44)✅
Rabbitohs vs SharksRabbitohsLOW 60%Rabbitohs (36–12)✅
Sea Eagles vs BroncosSea EaglesMEDIUM 70%Sea Eagles (32–4)✅
Storm vs Wests TigersWests TigersLOW 62%Storm (44–16)❌
Raiders vs PanthersPanthersHIGH 76%Panthers (18–30)✅
Round 9
5/8 correct
62.5% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Bulldogs vs CowboysCowboysLOW 64%Cowboys (12–28)✅
Dolphins vs StormDolphinsLOW 58%Dolphins (28–10)✅
Titans vs RaidersTitansHIGH 80%Raiders (12–28)❌
Eels vs WarriorsWarriorsMEDIUM 66%Warriors (14–36)✅
Roosters vs BroncosRoostersMEDIUM 66%Roosters (38–24)✅
Knights vs RabbitohsRabbitohsHIGH 79%Knights (42–38)❌
Sharks vs Wests TigersWests TigersMEDIUM 67%Sharks (52–10)❌
Panthers vs Sea EaglesPanthersHIGH 81%Panthers (18–16)✅
Round 8
8/8 correct
100.0% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Wests Tigers vs RaidersWests TigersHIGH 78%Wests Tigers (33–14)✅
Cowboys vs SharksCowboysLOW 57%Cowboys (46–34)✅
Broncos vs BulldogsBroncosHIGH 81%Broncos (32–12)✅
Dragons vs RoostersRoostersLOW 58%Roosters (16–62)✅
Warriors vs DolphinsWarriorsMEDIUM 65%Warriors (20–18)✅
Storm vs RabbitohsRabbitohsLOW 56%Rabbitohs (6–48)✅
Knights vs PanthersPanthersHIGH 78%Panthers (12–44)✅
Sea Eagles vs EelsSea EaglesMEDIUM 69%Sea Eagles (33–18)✅
Round 7
6/8 correct
75.0% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Cowboys vs Sea EaglesCowboysCOIN FLIP 55%Sea Eagles (6–38)❌
Raiders vs StormRaidersLOW 56%Raiders (26–22)✅
Dolphins vs PanthersPanthersHIGH 82%Panthers (22–23)✅
Warriors vs TitansWarriorsMEDIUM 75%Warriors (28–20)✅
Rabbitohs vs DragonsRabbitohsMEDIUM 72%Rabbitohs (30–12)✅
Wests Tigers vs BroncosBroncosCOIN FLIP 52%Broncos (20–21)✅
Roosters vs KnightsRoostersLOW 62%Roosters (38–24)✅
Eels vs BulldogsBulldogsLOW 55%Eels (38–20)❌
Round 6
6/8 correct
75.0% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Bulldogs vs PanthersPanthersMEDIUM 69%Bulldogs (32–16)❌
Dragons vs Sea EaglesSea EaglesMEDIUM 67%Sea Eagles (18–28)✅
Broncos vs CowboysCowboysLOW 55%Cowboys (31–35)✅
Rabbitohs vs RaidersRaidersLOW 55%Raiders (34–36)✅
Sharks vs RoostersRoostersLOW 55%Roosters (22–34)✅
Storm vs WarriorsStormCOIN FLIP 53%Warriors (14–38)❌
Eels vs TitansTitansLOW 63%Titans (10–52)✅
Wests Tigers vs KnightsWests TigersCOIN FLIP 51%Wests Tigers (42–22)✅
Round 5
7/8 correct
87.5% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Dolphins vs Sea EaglesSea EaglesLOW 56%Sea Eagles (18–52)✅
Rabbitohs vs BulldogsRabbitohsMEDIUM 74%Rabbitohs (32–24)✅
Panthers vs StormPanthersMEDIUM 74%Panthers (50–10)✅
Dragons vs CowboysCowboysLOW 62%Cowboys (0–32)✅
Titans vs BroncosBroncosMEDIUM 66%Broncos (12–26)✅
Sharks vs WarriorsWarriorsCOIN FLIP 52%Sharks (36–22)❌
Knights vs RaidersKnightsLOW 59%Knights (32–12)✅
Eels vs Wests TigersWests TigersMEDIUM 68%Wests Tigers (20–22)✅
Round 4
7/8 correct
87.5% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Sea Eagles vs RoostersRoostersCOIN FLIP 51%Roosters (16–33)✅
Warriors vs Wests TigersWests TigersCOIN FLIP 52%Wests Tigers (14–32)✅
Broncos vs DolphinsBroncosMEDIUM 69%Broncos (26–12)✅
Bulldogs vs KnightsBulldogsMEDIUM 70%Knights (16–24)❌
Panthers vs EelsPanthersHIGH 83%Panthers (48–20)✅
Cowboys vs StormCowboysCOIN FLIP 50%Cowboys (28–24)✅
Raiders vs SharksSharksHIGH 80%Sharks (22–34)✅
Titans vs DragonsTitansLOW 58%Titans (22–14)✅
Round 3
6/8 correct
75.0% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Raiders vs BulldogsBulldogsMEDIUM 71%Bulldogs (10–14)✅
Roosters vs PanthersPanthersLOW 62%Panthers (4–40)✅
Storm vs BroncosStormHIGH 80%Broncos (14–18)❌
Knights vs WarriorsWarriorsHIGH 80%Warriors (12–38)✅
Sharks vs DolphinsSharksMEDIUM 71%Dolphins (10–38)❌
Rabbitohs vs Wests TigersRabbitohsMEDIUM 68%Rabbitohs (20–16)✅
Eels vs DragonsEelsLOW 62%Eels (30–20)✅
Cowboys vs TitansCowboysHIGH 81%Cowboys (30–16)✅
Round 2
6/8 correct
75.0% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Broncos vs EelsBroncosLOW 57%Eels (32–40)❌
Warriors vs RaidersWarriorsMEDIUM 70%Warriors (40–6)✅
Roosters vs RabbitohsRoostersMEDIUM 67%Roosters (26–18)✅
Wests Tigers vs CowboysWests TigersMEDIUM 74%Wests Tigers (44–16)✅
Dragons vs StormStormHIGH 77%Storm (20–46)✅
Panthers vs SharksPanthersMEDIUM 69%Panthers (26–6)✅
Sea Eagles vs KnightsSea EaglesLOW 56%Knights (16–36)❌
Dolphins vs TitansDolphinsMEDIUM 67%Dolphins (18–14)✅
Round 1
8/8 correct
100.0% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Knights vs CowboysKnightsMEDIUM 71%Knights (28–18)✅
Bulldogs vs DragonsBulldogsMEDIUM 73%Bulldogs (15–14)✅
Storm vs EelsStormHIGH 78%Storm (52–4)✅
Warriors vs RoostersWarriorsCOIN FLIP 54%Warriors (42–18)✅
Broncos vs PanthersPanthersLOW 62%Panthers (0–26)✅
Sharks vs TitansSharksHIGH 77%Sharks (50–10)✅
Sea Eagles vs RaidersRaidersLOW 58%Raiders (28–29)✅
Dolphins vs RabbitohsRabbitohsHIGH 84%Rabbitohs (30–40)✅

Results updated automatically each round · Last updated 12 May 2026 · Predictions generated before each round using data available at prediction time.
AI-generated tips are for informational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — Gambling Help Online: 1800 858 858.