AFL 2026 Round 25 Tips & Predictions – AI Model Picks

Our AI model has run the numbers for AFL 2026 Round 25. It draws on 1,547 matches back to 2019, reading recent form, head-to-head records, home-ground advantage, streaks, 5-game momentum patterns and points differential for all 2 games.

Honest model accuracy: 69.0% weighted across walk-forward test seasons - see the full tracker, graded out-of-sample so the numbers can't be inflated.


Round 25 Predictions

📍 M.C.G. Low
Western Bulldogs
57% wins in 2026
vs
Collingwood
52% wins in 2026
37%
63%
AI Pick Collingwood (63% probability)
Western Bulldogs last 5
WLLLW
Collingwood last 5
WLWLL
⚠ Collingwood: Collapse pattern - was winning, now sliding
📍 M.C.G. Coin flip
Melbourne
65% wins in 2026
vs
Carlton
52% wins in 2026
54%
46%
AI Pick Melbourne (54% probability)
Melbourne last 5
LWWWL
Carlton last 5
WWWLW
▲ Carlton: Better recent form (last 5)

Round 25 Summary

MatchAI PickProbabilityConfidence
Western Bulldogs vs CollingwoodCollingwood63%Low
Melbourne vs CarltonMelbourne54%Coin flip

Tools for This Round


Responsible gambling: These predictions are generated by an AI model for information and entertainment only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. 18+ only. Gamble responsibly - if gambling is causing harm, call Gambling Help Online on 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

Predictions by the TippingEdge AFL model (XGBoost + Logistic Regression ensemble, 69.0% walk-forward accuracy). Uses 2026 data up to Round 24.

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