Our AI model has crunched the numbers for NRL 2026 Round 11 and produced its weekly predictions. The model draws on 1,489+ historical matches (2019–2026), incorporating recent form, head-to-head records, streak analysis, 5-game pattern recognition, and live weather data for every venue.
Current model accuracy: 80.6% across 2026 — see the full results tracker.
Round 11 Predictions
📍 Suncorp Stadium
MEDIUM
⛅ 18°C · Wind 8 km/h · Rain 0.8mm · Humidity 79%
SHASharks
44% wins this season
vs
BULBulldogs
33% wins this season
AI Pick
Sharks
(67% probability)
Sharks last 5
W L L W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 37%
Bulldogs last 5
W L L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 36%
▼ Bulldogs: 4-game losing streak (hist. win next: 35%)
📍 Suncorp Stadium
LOW
⛅ 18°C · Wind 8 km/h · Rain 0.8mm · Humidity 79%
RABRabbitohs
67% wins this season
vs
DOLDolphins
44% wins this season
AI Pick
Rabbitohs
(64% probability)
Rabbitohs last 5
L W W L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Dolphins last 5
L L L W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
▲ Dolphins: Recovery pattern — bouncing back from losses
📍 Suncorp Stadium
LOW
⛅ 19°C · Wind 9 km/h · Rain 0.8mm · Humidity 82%
WESWests Tigers
56% wins this season
vs
SEASea Eagles
56% wins this season
AI Pick
Sea Eagles
(57% probability)
Wests Tigers last 5
W L W L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Sea Eagles last 5
W W W L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 59%
⚠ Wests Tigers: Collapse pattern — was winning, now on a losing run
▲ Sea Eagles: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 Suncorp Stadium
MEDIUM
⛅ 19°C · Wind 9 km/h · Rain 0.8mm · Humidity 82%
ROORoosters
78% wins this season
vs
COWCowboys
60% wins this season
AI Pick
Roosters
(68% probability)
Roosters last 5
W W W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 64%
Cowboys last 5
W L W W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
▲ Roosters: 6-game win streak (hist. continuation: 56%)
▲ Roosters: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 Suncorp Stadium
LOW
⛅ 19°C · Wind 9 km/h · Rain 0.8mm · Humidity 82%
EELEels
40% wins this season
vs
STOStorm
30% wins this season
AI Pick
Storm
(65% probability)
Eels last 5
L W L L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Storm last 5
L L L L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 42%
📍 Suncorp Stadium
LOW
⛅ 21°C · Wind 5 km/h · Rain 0.3mm · Humidity 80%
TITTitans
22% wins this season
vs
KNIKnights
60% wins this season
AI Pick
Knights
(55% probability)
Titans last 5
L W L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 39%
Knights last 5
L L L W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
▼ Titans: 3-game losing streak (hist. win next: 35%)
▲ Knights: Recovery pattern — bouncing back from losses
📍 Suncorp Stadium
HIGH
⛅ 21°C · Wind 5 km/h · Rain 0.3mm · Humidity 80%
WARWarriors
78% wins this season
vs
BROBroncos
50% wins this season
AI Pick
Warriors
(76% probability)
Warriors last 5
L W W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 65%
Broncos last 5
L W W L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 40%
▲ Warriors: 4-game win streak (hist. continuation: 67%)
⚠ Broncos: Collapse pattern — was winning, now on a losing run
▲ Warriors: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 Suncorp Stadium
HIGH
⛅ 21°C · Wind 5 km/h · Rain 0.3mm · Humidity 80%
PANPanthers
90% wins this season
vs
DRADragons
0% wins this season
AI Pick
Panthers
(82% probability)
Panthers last 5
L W W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 65%
Dragons last 5
L L L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 37%
▲ Panthers: 4-game win streak (hist. continuation: 77%)
▼ Dragons: 10-game losing streak (hist. win next: 0%)
▲ Panthers: Better recent form (last 5 games)
Round 11 Summary
| Match | AI Pick | Probability | Confidence |
|---|
| Sharks vs Bulldogs | Sharks | 67% | MEDIUM |
| Rabbitohs vs Dolphins | Rabbitohs | 64% | LOW |
| Wests Tigers vs Sea Eagles | Sea Eagles | 57% | LOW |
| Roosters vs Cowboys | Roosters | 68% | MEDIUM |
| Eels vs Storm | Storm | 65% | LOW |
| Titans vs Knights | Knights | 55% | LOW |
| Warriors vs Broncos | Warriors | 76% | HIGH |
| Panthers vs Dragons | Panthers | 82% | HIGH |
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Predictions generated by the TippingEdge AI model (XGBoost + Logistic Regression ensemble, 80.6% accuracy).
Model uses 2026 season data up to Round 10.