Our AI model has crunched the numbers for NRL 2026 Round 10 and produced its weekly predictions. The model draws on 1,468 historical matches (2019–2026), incorporating recent form, head-to-head records, streak analysis, 5-game pattern recognition, and live weather data for every venue.
Current model accuracy: 80.6% over a held-out test set across 2024–2026 seasons.
Round 10 Predictions
📍 Suncorp Stadium
MEDIUM
⛅ 20°C · Wind 14 km/h · Humidity 53%
DOLDolphins
38% wins this season
vs
BULBulldogs
38% wins this season
AI Pick
Dolphins
(75% probability)
Dolphins last 5
L L L L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 42%
Bulldogs last 5
L W L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 39%
▼ Bulldogs: 3-game losing streak (hist. win next: 34%)
📍 Polytec Stadium
HIGH
⛅ 15°C · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 62%
ROORoosters
75% wins this season
vs
TITTitans
25% wins this season
AI Pick
Roosters
(78% probability)
Roosters last 5
W W W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 64%
Titans last 5
W L W L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
▲ Roosters: 5-game win streak (hist. continuation: 60%)
⚠ Titans: Collapse pattern — was winning, now on a losing run
▲ Roosters: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 Queensland Country Bank Stadium
MEDIUM
⛅ 25°C · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 60%
COWCowboys
67% wins this season
vs
EELEels
33% wins this season
AI Pick
Cowboys
(68% probability)
Cowboys last 5
W W L W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 59%
Eels last 5
L L W L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 33%
▲ Cowboys: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 WIN Stadium
MEDIUM
⛅ 15°C · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 72%
DRADragons
0% wins this season
vs
KNIKnights
56% wins this season
AI Pick
Knights
(69% probability)
Dragons last 5
L L L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 37%
Knights last 5
W L L L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
▼ Dragons: 10-game losing streak (hist. win next: 0%)
▲ Knights: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 Accor Stadium
LOW
⛅ 16°C · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 70%
RABRabbitohs
62% wins this season
vs
SHASharks
50% wins this season
AI Pick
Rabbitohs
(60% probability)
Rabbitohs last 5
W L W W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Sharks last 5
W W L L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
📍 4 Pines Park
MEDIUM
⛅ 16°C · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 71%
SEASea Eagles
50% wins this season
vs
BROBroncos
56% wins this season
AI Pick
Sea Eagles
(68% probability)
Sea Eagles last 5
W W W W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 59%
Broncos last 5
W L W W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
▲ Sea Eagles: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 AAMI Park
LOW
⛅ 14°C · Wind 11 km/h · Rain 0.4mm · Humidity 84%
STOStorm
22% wins this season
vs
WESWests Tigers
62% wins this season
AI Pick
Wests Tigers
(58% probability)
Storm last 5
L L L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 37%
Wests Tigers last 5
W W L W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 62%
▼ Storm: 7-game losing streak (hist. win next: 50%)
▲ Wests Tigers: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 GIO Stadium
HIGH
⛅ 13°C · Wind 2 km/h · Humidity 71%
RAIRaiders
44% wins this season
vs
PANPanthers
89% wins this season
AI Pick
Panthers
(78% probability)
Raiders last 5
L W W L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Panthers last 5
W L W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
▲ Panthers: 3-game win streak (hist. continuation: 77%)
▲ Panthers: Better recent form (last 5 games)
Round 10 Summary
| Match | AI Pick | Probability | Confidence |
|---|
| Dolphins vs Bulldogs | Dolphins | 75% | MEDIUM |
| Roosters vs Titans | Roosters | 78% | HIGH |
| Cowboys vs Eels | Cowboys | 68% | MEDIUM |
| Dragons vs Knights | Knights | 69% | MEDIUM |
| Rabbitohs vs Sharks | Rabbitohs | 60% | LOW |
| Sea Eagles vs Broncos | Sea Eagles | 68% | MEDIUM |
| Storm vs Wests Tigers | Wests Tigers | 58% | LOW |
| Raiders vs Panthers | Panthers | 78% | HIGH |
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Predictions generated by the TippingEdge AI model (XGBoost + Logistic Regression ensemble, 80.6% accuracy).
Model uses 2026 season data up to Round 9.