Our AI model has crunched the numbers for NRL 2026 Round 8 and produced its weekly predictions. The model draws on 1,468 historical matches (2019–2026), incorporating recent form, head-to-head records, streak analysis, 5-game pattern recognition, and live weather data for every venue.
Current model accuracy: 80.6% over a held-out test set across 2024–2026 seasons.
Round 8 Predictions
📍 Queensland Country Bank Stadium
LOW
⛅ 25°C · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 63%
COWCowboys
57% wins this season
vs
SHASharks
50% wins this season
AI Pick
Cowboys
(61% probability)
Cowboys last 5
W W W W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 59%
Sharks last 5
L L W W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 28%
▲ Cowboys: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 Suncorp Stadium
HIGH
⛅ 20°C · Wind 13 km/h · Rain 0.2mm · Humidity 68%
BROBroncos
57% wins this season
vs
BULBulldogs
50% wins this season
AI Pick
Broncos
(79% probability)
Broncos last 5
W W W L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 59%
Bulldogs last 5
W L L W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 37%
▲ Broncos: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 Allianz Stadium
MEDIUM
⛅ 20°C · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 73%
DRADragons
0% wins this season
vs
ROORoosters
67% wins this season
AI Pick
Roosters
(66% probability)
Dragons last 5
L L L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 37%
Roosters last 5
W L W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
▲ Roosters: 3-game win streak (hist. continuation: 62%)
▼ Dragons: 10-game losing streak (hist. win next: 0%)
▲ Roosters: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 Hnry Stadium
MEDIUM
⛅ 22°C · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 60%
WARWarriors
71% wins this season
vs
DOLDolphins
33% wins this season
AI Pick
Warriors
(65% probability)
Warriors last 5
W L L W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 58%
Dolphins last 5
W W L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
▼ Dolphins: 3-game losing streak (hist. win next: 45%)
⚠ Dolphins: Collapse pattern — was winning, now on a losing run
▲ Warriors: Recovery pattern — bouncing back from losses
📍 AAMI Park
LOW
⛅ 22°C · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 42%
STOStorm
29% wins this season
vs
RABRabbitohs
67% wins this season
AI Pick
Rabbitohs
(61% probability)
Storm last 5
L L L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 37%
Rabbitohs last 5
L W W L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
▼ Storm: 5-game losing streak (hist. win next: 50%)
▲ Rabbitohs: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 McDonald Jones Stadium
HIGH
⛅ 19°C · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 64%
KNIKnights
57% wins this season
vs
PANPanthers
86% wins this season
AI Pick
Panthers
(81% probability)
Knights last 5
L W W L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 40%
Panthers last 5
W W W L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 59%
⚠ Knights: Collapse pattern — was winning, now on a losing run
▲ Panthers: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 4 Pines Park
MEDIUM
⛅ 19°C · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 70%
SEASea Eagles
50% wins this season
vs
EELEels
43% wins this season
AI Pick
Sea Eagles
(66% probability)
Sea Eagles last 5
L L W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Eels last 5
W L L L W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
▲ Sea Eagles: 3-game win streak (hist. continuation: 19%)
▲ Sea Eagles: Recovery pattern — bouncing back from losses
Round 8 Summary
| Match | AI Pick | Probability | Confidence |
|---|
| Cowboys vs Sharks | Cowboys | 61% | LOW |
| Broncos vs Bulldogs | Broncos | 79% | HIGH |
| Dragons vs Roosters | Roosters | 66% | MEDIUM |
| Warriors vs Dolphins | Warriors | 65% | MEDIUM |
| Storm vs Rabbitohs | Rabbitohs | 61% | LOW |
| Knights vs Panthers | Panthers | 81% | HIGH |
| Sea Eagles vs Eels | Sea Eagles | 66% | MEDIUM |
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Predictions generated by the TippingEdge AI model (XGBoost + Logistic Regression ensemble, 80.6% accuracy).
Model uses 2026 season data up to Round 7.