Our AI model has crunched the numbers for NRL 2026 Round 28 and produced its weekly predictions. The model draws on 1,489+ historical matches (2019–2026), incorporating recent form, head-to-head records, streak analysis, 5-game pattern recognition, and live weather data for every venue.
Current model accuracy: 73.5% across 2026 - see the full results tracker.
Round 28 Predictions
📍 Allianz Stadium
MEDIUM
⛅ 16°C · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 78%
RABRabbitohs
58% wins this season
vs
KNIKnights
58% wins this season
AI Pick
Rabbitohs
(70% probability)
Rabbitohs last 5
W W L W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 59%
Knights last 5
W W W L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
⚠ Knights: Collapse pattern - was winning, now on a losing run
▲ Rabbitohs: Better recent form (last 5 games)
📍 Go Media Stadium
HIGH
⛅ 12°C · Wind 16 km/h · Rain 0.1mm · Humidity 71%
WARWarriors
75% wins this season
vs
DOLDolphins
71% wins this season
AI Pick
Warriors
(76% probability)
Warriors last 5
W W W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 64%
Dolphins last 5
W W W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 64%
▲ Warriors: 6-game win streak (hist. continuation: 33%)
▲ Dolphins: 7-game win streak (hist. continuation: 50%)
📍 Allianz Stadium
MEDIUM
⛅ 17°C · Wind 13 km/h · Humidity 78%
SHASharks
58% wins this season
vs
COWCowboys
54% wins this season
AI Pick
Sharks
(75% probability)
Sharks last 5
L L W L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 33%
Cowboys last 5
L W L W L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
📍 CommBank Stadium
MEDIUM
⛅ 19°C · Wind 12 km/h · Humidity 67%
PANPanthers
75% wins this season
vs
ROORoosters
67% wins this season
AI Pick
Panthers
(70% probability)
Panthers last 5
L L W W W
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
Roosters last 5
W W L L L
Hist. win rate from this pattern: 50%
▲ Panthers: 3-game win streak (hist. continuation: 77%)
▼ Roosters: 3-game losing streak (hist. win next: 86%)
⚠ Roosters: Collapse pattern - was winning, now on a losing run
▲ Panthers: Recovery pattern - bouncing back from losses
Round 28 Summary
| Match | AI Pick | Probability | Confidence |
|---|
| Rabbitohs vs Knights | Rabbitohs | 70% | MEDIUM |
| Warriors vs Dolphins | Warriors | 76% | HIGH |
| Sharks vs Cowboys | Sharks | 75% | MEDIUM |
| Panthers vs Roosters | Panthers | 70% | MEDIUM |
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Responsible Gambling: These predictions are generated by an AI model and are for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Gamble responsibly. If gambling is causing you harm, call Gambling Help Online on 1800 858 858.
Predictions generated by the TippingEdge AI model (XGBoost + Logistic Regression ensemble, 73.5% accuracy).
Model uses 2026 season data up to Round 27.
