Odds Converter: Decimal, Fractional, American & Implied Probability

Odds Converter: Decimal, Fractional, American & Implied Probability

Type odds in any format and convert instantly. Then use the value checker below to see whether a price is actually worth taking - the question that matters more than the format.

Convert odds between formats

Edit any field and the others update. Implied probability = 1 ÷ decimal odds. It includes the bookmaker's margin, so the true chance the market believes in is slightly lower.

Value checker: should you take this price?

Your estimate can come from a model, your own analysis, or our weekly probabilities in this week's NRL tips. A bet only has positive expected value when your estimated chance beats the implied probability of the price.

How implied probability works

Every price is a probability in disguise. Decimal odds of $2.00 imply a 50% chance, $1.50 implies 67%, and $4.00 implies 25%. The formula is simple: implied probability = 100 ÷ decimal odds. When you compare your own estimate of a team's chance against the implied probability, you are doing what professional bettors call finding an edge.

One catch: bookmaker prices across all outcomes add to more than 100%. That extra is the margin (vig). On a typical NRL head-to-head market the total is 104-106%, meaning roughly 2-3% of each price is margin, not probability. That is why beating the market consistently is hard, and why line shopping between bookmakers matters.

Quick reference table

DecimalFractionalAmericanImplied %
1.201/5-50083.3%
1.501/2-20066.7%
1.804/5-12555.6%
1.909/10-11152.6%
2.001/1 (evens)+10050.0%
2.506/4+15040.0%
3.002/1+20033.3%
5.004/1+40020.0%
10.009/1+90010.0%

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FAQ

How do I convert American odds to decimal?

For positive American odds (+150): decimal = (american ÷ 100) + 1, so +150 becomes 2.50. For negative odds (-200): decimal = (100 ÷ 200) + 1 = 1.50. The converter above handles both directions automatically.

How do I convert odds to a percentage?

Divide 100 by the decimal odds. $2.50 odds = 100 ÷ 2.5 = 40%. That percentage is the implied probability - the chance the price says the outcome has, including the bookmaker's margin.

Why don't implied probabilities add up to 100%?

The excess over 100% is the bookmaker's margin. If a market totals 105%, around 5 points of probability across all outcomes is margin. To estimate the market's true probabilities, divide each implied probability by the market total - that is called removing the vig (de-vigging).

What is a good edge to bet on?

Most serious bettors want their estimated probability to beat the implied probability by at least 2-4 points before betting, because estimates carry error and the margin eats thin edges. Our Kelly calculator converts an edge into a sensible stake size.

Gamble responsibly. Tools on this page are for information and entertainment, not financial advice. 18+ only. Set a budget and stick to it. Free, confidential support: Gambling Help on 1800 858 858 or gamblinghelponline.org.au.