QLD Maroons 2026: State of Origin Form & Analysis

★ QLD Maroons — Origin 2026

QLD Maroons 2026: State of Origin Form & Analysis

Defending series champions — recent record, venue history and what to expect.

QLD Origin Record Since 2019

11/21
Games won
52%
Win rate
16.8
Points for/game
22.1
Points against/game

QLD have won four of the last seven series (2020, 2022, 2023, 2025) — more than NSW — despite scoring fewer points per game on average. The Maroons' edge has been winning the games that matter: 7 of 11 wins since 2019 came in series-deciding moments.

Last 5 Origin Results

GameVenueH/AScoreResult
2024 Game 2MCGAway18-38L
2024 Game 3SuncorpHome4-14L
2025 Game 1SuncorpHome6-18L
2025 Game 2Optus StadiumHome26-24W
2025 Game 3AccorAway24-12W

QLD lost 3 of their last 5 individual games but won the 2025 series 2-1 — bouncing back from a Game 1 home loss to win the next two. They are the defending series champions entering 2026.

The 2026 storyline: QLD have won the last 2 Origin matches played at Accor Stadium by an average of 20 points. They open Game 1 at Accor again. Despite the "away" label, QLD have arguably the more comfortable record at the venue than the Blues.

Venue Record: QLD at Accor (Game 1 2026)

The Maroons have made Accor Stadium a happy hunting ground in recent series:

  • 2022 Game 1: W 16-10
  • 2023 Game 3: L 10-24 (dead rubber)
  • 2024 Game 1: W 38-10
  • 2025 Game 3: W 24-12 (dead rubber after sealing series)

Live-series record at Accor: 2W-0L in critical Game 1 fixtures. QLD's Game 1 record at Accor under the current generation of selectors is unbeaten.

Venue Record: QLD at MCG (Game 2 2026)

QLD's last MCG Origin was 2024 Game 2 — they lost 18-38 to NSW. The wide MCG surface has historically not suited QLD's possession-and-pressure style; their best results come at narrower grounds like Suncorp and Optus Stadium.

Venue Record: QLD at Suncorp (Game 3 2026)

Suncorp is QLD's traditional fortress, but recent results have been mixed:

  • 2022 Game 3: W 22-12
  • 2023 Game 2: W 32-6
  • 2024 Game 3: L 4-14
  • 2025 Game 1: L 6-18

QLD have lost their last 2 Suncorp Origins by a combined 22 points. If the 2026 series is alive going into Game 3, this trend is one of the strongest market biases to fade.

What to Watch for in 2026

1. The forward pack rotation

QLD's wins in 2022, 2023 and 2025 all featured a heavy 60+ minute commitment from the starting middle forwards. When QLD's starting props play 55+ minutes combined, QLD win 72% of the time since 2019.

2. Edge defence under high ball

The kick-chase battle. QLD outmuscled NSW under kicks in 2025 Games 2 and 3. Both series-deciding wins came from try-line drop-out pressure forcing NSW errors in their own quarter.

3. The bench utility

Every QLD series win since 2019 has featured a hooker/lock utility off the bench in the final 25 minutes. Their bench distribution has been the single biggest tactical edge versus NSW.

Squad Announcement

The 2026 QLD Maroons squad is expected to be announced on Sunday 24 May 2026. We'll update this page with full squad analysis once the team is named.

Where QLD's Origin Players Come From

QLD Origin selectors traditionally pull from clubs based in Queensland — primarily the Broncos, Cowboys, Dolphins and Titans — plus QLD-eligible players at NSW-based clubs. View the current form of QLD-based clubs:

See our Game 1 prediction

Full breakdown of NSW vs QLD Game 1 — venue history, key matchups, recommended bets.

Read the Game 1 preview →
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