📈 2026 Season
St. George Illawarra Dragons Tips & Predictions 2026
AI-powered betting tips, win probabilities, and pattern analysis for the Dragons - updated every round using our ML prediction model.
3W–4L
2026 season
L2
current streak
#13
attack rank
#13
defence rank
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This Week's Prediction
Our model re-runs every game, every round. The latest St George Illawarra Dragons pick - win probability, confidence tier and weather read - is in this week's round preview.
2026 Season Snapshot
3-4
W–L record
2-2
Home record
1-2
Away record
20.3
Pts for avg
23.1
Pts against avg
13/17
Attack rank
13/17
Defence rank
Last 5 Games - Form Guide
Form:
L
L
L
L
L
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57%
Model accuracy on Dragons picks - 2025 season
Our ML ensemble was 57% accurate when predicting Dragons match outcomes across the full 2025 NRL season (27 rounds + finals). Below average - higher uncertainty, reduce stakes accordingly.
Key Patterns & Tendencies
- On a 2-game losing streak heading into a Sydney derby atmosphere
- Dragons vs Rabbitohs historically tight: average winning margin 4.6 points (5yr)
- Win 45% of games as the away underdog - better than their overall away record
- More competitive when rivalry game stakes are high - derby motivation factor
Betting Approach for the Dragons
- Coin flip classification means low confidence in either direction
- Dragons +2.5 at reasonable odds is a viable play given tight historical margins
- This game could genuinely go either way - consider skipping or small stake only
- Derby games reduce the model edge - skip if you want high-confidence plays
Rivalry matchups: Sharks Tips · Bulldogs Tips
See All Round 31 NRL Predictions
View the full round - all 8 match predictions with win probabilities, confidence tiers, and SGM suggestions.
View Round 31 Tips →
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