NRL Prediction Accuracy – Live Model Results Tracker

2026 Season · 30 Rounds Completed
74.5%
158 of 212 games predicted correctly
Model: XGBoost + Logistic Regression ensemble · 1,489+ historical matches

Every prediction on this page was generated by the TippingEdge AI model before each round was played, using only data available at that point in the season. No results have been cherry-picked or adjusted retroactively.

Rounds 1–8 were published as retroactive model runs (the site launched in April 2026). Rounds 9 onwards are live predictions published each week before kick-off.

Accuracy by Confidence Tier

TierCorrectAccuracy bar%
HIGH50/51
98%
MEDIUM44/58
76%
LOW48/74
65%
COIN FLIP16/29
55%

HIGH = model ≥75% confident · MEDIUM = 65–74% · LOW = 57–64% · COIN FLIP = 50–56%

Round-by-Round Results

Round 30
1/2 correct
50.0% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Dolphins vs RoostersRoostersMEDIUM 66%Roosters (20–36)✅
Panthers vs KnightsPanthersMEDIUM 73%Knights (14–22)❌
Round 29
0/2 correct
0.0% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Roosters vs SharksSharksLOW 63%Roosters (46–10)❌
Warriors vs KnightsWarriorsMEDIUM 66%Knights (10–12)❌
Round 28
3/4 correct
75.0% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Rabbitohs vs KnightsKnightsCOIN FLIP 50%Knights (10–20)✅
Warriors vs DolphinsWarriorsLOW 58%Dolphins (16–26)❌
Sharks vs CowboysSharksHIGH 79%Sharks (26–16)✅
Panthers vs RoostersPanthersMEDIUM 69%Panthers (19–12)✅
Round 27
4/8 correct
50.0% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Bulldogs vs BroncosBulldogsCOIN FLIP 53%Broncos (20–34)❌
Titans vs DolphinsDolphinsHIGH 81%Dolphins (20–24)✅
Rabbitohs vs RoostersRoostersLOW 57%Rabbitohs (50–20)❌
Warriors vs Sea EaglesWarriorsHIGH 81%Warriors (31–30)✅
Cowboys vs RaidersCowboysLOW 59%Raiders (30–50)❌
Sharks vs StormStormLOW 62%Storm (20–24)✅
Dragons vs EelsEelsCOIN FLIP 51%Dragons (24–22)❌
Panthers vs Wests TigersPanthersHIGH 85%Panthers (38–10)✅
Round 26
7/8 correct
87.5% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Broncos vs StormStormLOW 62%Storm (20–46)✅
Sea Eagles vs DragonsSea EaglesHIGH 88%Sea Eagles (44–10)✅
Panthers vs BulldogsPanthersHIGH 85%Panthers (24–10)✅
Titans vs RabbitohsRabbitohsLOW 57%Rabbitohs (22–42)✅
Roosters vs DolphinsDolphinsLOW 56%Dolphins (12–26)✅
Cowboys vs Wests TigersCowboysMEDIUM 70%Cowboys (24–10)✅
Warriors vs KnightsWarriorsMEDIUM 73%Warriors (46–32)✅
Eels vs SharksSharksMEDIUM 68%Eels (38–18)❌
Round 25
5/8 correct
62.5% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Storm vs PanthersStormCOIN FLIP 54%Panthers (14–22)❌
Raiders vs BroncosRaidersMEDIUM 68%Broncos (30–34)❌
Dolphins vs EelsDolphinsHIGH 82%Dolphins (34–16)✅
Knights vs Sea EaglesSea EaglesCOIN FLIP 51%Sea Eagles (24–44)✅
Rabbitohs vs WarriorsWarriorsMEDIUM 66%Warriors (26–45)✅
Dragons vs BulldogsBulldogsLOW 63%Bulldogs (14–44)✅
Titans vs SharksSharksHIGH 79%Sharks (22–30)✅
Roosters vs Wests TigersRoostersMEDIUM 74%Wests Tigers (24–25)❌
Round 24
6/8 correct
75.0% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Panthers vs RoostersRoostersLOW 56%Roosters (6–12)✅
Sea Eagles vs DolphinsDolphinsMEDIUM 66%Dolphins (0–22)✅
Bulldogs vs RabbitohsBulldogsLOW 61%Rabbitohs (6–22)❌
Sharks vs RaidersSharksMEDIUM 73%Raiders (20–24)❌
Eels vs CowboysEelsCOIN FLIP 52%Eels (32–30)✅
Broncos vs WarriorsWarriorsHIGH 77%Warriors (6–40)✅
Knights vs TitansKnightsHIGH 84%Knights (36–26)✅
Wests Tigers vs DragonsDragonsLOW 59%Dragons (22–24)✅
Round 23
6/8 correct
75.0% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Titans vs CowboysCowboysLOW 57%Cowboys (8–30)✅
Warriors vs PanthersPanthersLOW 61%Warriors (28–12)❌
Roosters vs BulldogsRoostersHIGH 78%Roosters (20–18)✅
Storm vs Sea EaglesStormMEDIUM 68%Storm (42–20)✅
Dolphins vs BroncosDolphinsHIGH 78%Dolphins (40–32)✅
Rabbitohs vs EelsRabbitohsMEDIUM 71%Rabbitohs (28–24)✅
Raiders vs KnightsKnightsLOW 62%Knights (24–30)✅
Dragons vs SharksSharksLOW 60%Dragons (24–16)❌
Round 22
7/8 correct
87.5% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Cowboys vs RoostersRoostersCOIN FLIP 55%Roosters (12–82)✅
Dragons vs DolphinsDolphinsMEDIUM 72%Dolphins (22–28)✅
Storm vs BulldogsStormLOW 64%Bulldogs (22–36)❌
Titans vs WarriorsWarriorsLOW 57%Warriors (6–42)✅
Panthers vs RaidersPanthersHIGH 76%Panthers (42–18)✅
Broncos vs KnightsKnightsCOIN FLIP 54%Knights (6–30)✅
Sharks vs RabbitohsSharksHIGH 86%Sharks (32–16)✅
Wests Tigers vs EelsEelsMEDIUM 68%Eels (13–16)✅
Round 21
6/8 correct
75.0% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Eels vs PanthersPanthersMEDIUM 73%Panthers (18–24)✅
Knights vs RoostersRoostersLOW 62%Roosters (22–23)✅
Rabbitohs vs StormRabbitohsLOW 59%Rabbitohs (28–26)✅
Raiders vs Wests TigersRaidersMEDIUM 75%Raiders (56–10)✅
Bulldogs vs WarriorsWarriorsLOW 58%Bulldogs (18–6)❌
Cowboys vs BroncosCowboysCOIN FLIP 53%Cowboys (18–10)✅
Dragons vs TitansDragonsLOW 62%Titans (18–38)❌
Sea Eagles vs SharksSharksLOW 56%Sharks (12–48)✅
Round 20
6/8 correct
75.0% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Panthers vs BroncosPanthersMEDIUM 70%Broncos (12–14)❌
Sharks vs KnightsSharksMEDIUM 74%Sharks (20–18)✅
Roosters vs StormRoostersLOW 63%Roosters (14–6)✅
Raiders vs RabbitohsRaidersLOW 58%Raiders (34–24)✅
Warriors vs DragonsWarriorsHIGH 89%Warriors (20–12)✅
Bulldogs vs Wests TigersBulldogsHIGH 83%Bulldogs (32–0)✅
Titans vs Sea EaglesSea EaglesLOW 58%Titans (38–32)❌
Dolphins vs CowboysDolphinsLOW 60%Dolphins (36–16)✅
Round 19
5/7 correct
71.4% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Wests Tigers vs WarriorsWarriorsHIGH 78%Warriors (6–32)✅
Dolphins vs SharksDolphinsLOW 58%Sharks (0–66)❌
Bulldogs vs RaidersRaidersLOW 57%Raiders (16–40)✅
Roosters vs EelsRoostersHIGH 77%Roosters (28–12)✅
Rabbitohs vs KnightsRabbitohsCOIN FLIP 54%Rabbitohs (26–24)✅
Sea Eagles vs CowboysSea EaglesMEDIUM 69%Cowboys (18–19)❌
Storm vs TitansStormHIGH 84%Storm (22–18)✅
Round 18
4/5 correct
80.0% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Panthers vs RabbitohsPanthersLOW 60%Panthers (36–14)✅
Dragons vs Wests TigersDragonsLOW 61%Dragons (24–10)✅
Broncos vs SharksSharksMEDIUM 74%Sharks (16–28)✅
Eels vs Sea EaglesSea EaglesLOW 62%Eels (23–14)❌
Knights vs DolphinsKnightsLOW 57%Knights (13–12)✅
Round 17
7/8 correct
87.5% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Eels vs RabbitohsRabbitohsHIGH 75%Rabbitohs (12–32)✅
Titans vs BulldogsBulldogsCOIN FLIP 54%Bulldogs (12–30)✅
Broncos vs RoostersRoostersHIGH 85%Roosters (18–24)✅
Dolphins vs WarriorsDolphinsLOW 58%Dolphins (26–24)✅
Cowboys vs PanthersPanthersLOW 60%Cowboys (26–12)❌
Sea Eagles vs StormSea EaglesHIGH 78%Sea Eagles (30–4)✅
Raiders vs DragonsRaidersHIGH 87%Raiders (24–16)✅
Knights vs Wests TigersKnightsHIGH 79%Knights (12–6)✅
Round 16
5/7 correct
71.4% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Knights vs DragonsKnightsHIGH 84%Knights (22–20)✅
Wests Tigers vs DolphinsDolphinsHIGH 78%Dolphins (22–36)✅
Titans vs PanthersPanthersMEDIUM 69%Titans (19–18)❌
Bulldogs vs Sea EaglesSea EaglesLOW 65%Bulldogs (13–12)❌
Warriors vs CowboysWarriorsHIGH 84%Warriors (38–20)✅
Storm vs RaidersStormMEDIUM 75%Storm (42–20)✅
Roosters vs SharksRoostersCOIN FLIP 53%Roosters (27–8)✅
Round 15
4/5 correct
80.0% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Rabbitohs vs BroncosRabbitohsMEDIUM 72%Rabbitohs (48–6)✅
Dolphins vs RoostersDolphinsLOW 62%Dolphins (48–10)✅
Warriors vs SharksWarriorsLOW 63%Sharks (8–10)❌
Eels vs RaidersEelsLOW 61%Eels (15–12)✅
Wests Tigers vs TitansWests TigersLOW 56%Wests Tigers (36–28)✅
Round 14
7/8 correct
87.5% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Sea Eagles vs RabbitohsSea EaglesHIGH 80%Sea Eagles (28–14)✅
Storm vs KnightsStormLOW 59%Storm (32–30)✅
Raiders vs RoostersRoostersLOW 60%Roosters (0–26)✅
Cowboys vs DolphinsDolphinsLOW 64%Dolphins (14–40)✅
Broncos vs TitansBroncosLOW 56%Titans (23–28)❌
Wests Tigers vs PanthersPanthersHIGH 79%Panthers (0–68)✅
Sharks vs DragonsSharksHIGH 83%Sharks (34–12)✅
Bulldogs vs EelsBulldogsHIGH 77%Bulldogs (14–12)✅
Round 13
6/7 correct
85.7% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Sharks vs Sea EaglesSharksLOW 64%Sharks (28–22)✅
Knights vs EelsKnightsMEDIUM 74%Knights (28–22)✅
Wests Tigers vs BulldogsWests TigersLOW 60%Wests Tigers (22–16)✅
Storm vs RoostersStormLOW 56%Storm (18–4)✅
Broncos vs DragonsBroncosMEDIUM 70%Dragons (26–30)❌
Raiders vs CowboysRaidersCOIN FLIP 51%Raiders (26–12)✅
Panthers vs WarriorsPanthersMEDIUM 69%Panthers (20–18)✅
Round 12
3/5 correct
60.0% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Raiders vs DolphinsDolphinsMEDIUM 66%Dolphins (22–30)✅
Bulldogs vs StormStormMEDIUM 66%Bulldogs (30–20)❌
Dragons vs WarriorsWarriorsHIGH 88%Warriors (12–30)✅
Sea Eagles vs TitansSea EaglesHIGH 84%Sea Eagles (12–10)✅
Cowboys vs RabbitohsRabbitohsCOIN FLIP 52%Cowboys (30–18)❌
Round 11
6/8 correct
75.0% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Sharks vs BulldogsSharksHIGH 76%Sharks (38–16)✅
Rabbitohs vs DolphinsRabbitohsCOIN FLIP 54%Dolphins (10–32)❌
Wests Tigers vs Sea EaglesSea EaglesLOW 64%Sea Eagles (18–46)✅
Roosters vs CowboysRoostersCOIN FLIP 51%Cowboys (12–18)❌
Eels vs StormStormLOW 63%Storm (8–34)✅
Titans vs KnightsKnightsLOW 62%Knights (12–36)✅
Warriors vs BroncosWarriorsHIGH 80%Warriors (42–12)✅
Panthers vs DragonsPanthersHIGH 82%Panthers (28–6)✅
Round 10
6/8 correct
75.0% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Dolphins vs BulldogsDolphinsMEDIUM 71%Dolphins (44–12)✅
Roosters vs TitansRoostersHIGH 77%Roosters (28–12)✅
Cowboys vs EelsCowboysLOW 58%Eels (30–33)❌
Dragons vs KnightsKnightsMEDIUM 75%Knights (10–44)✅
Rabbitohs vs SharksRabbitohsLOW 64%Rabbitohs (36–12)✅
Sea Eagles vs BroncosSea EaglesMEDIUM 72%Sea Eagles (32–4)✅
Storm vs Wests TigersWests TigersCOIN FLIP 53%Storm (44–16)❌
Raiders vs PanthersPanthersMEDIUM 71%Panthers (18–30)✅
Round 9
5/8 correct
62.5% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Bulldogs vs CowboysCowboysMEDIUM 67%Cowboys (12–28)✅
Dolphins vs StormDolphinsLOW 56%Dolphins (28–10)✅
Titans vs RaidersTitansLOW 60%Raiders (12–28)❌
Eels vs WarriorsWarriorsMEDIUM 74%Warriors (14–36)✅
Roosters vs BroncosRoostersLOW 63%Roosters (38–24)✅
Knights vs RabbitohsRabbitohsLOW 64%Knights (42–38)❌
Sharks vs Wests TigersWests TigersCOIN FLIP 52%Sharks (52–10)❌
Panthers vs Sea EaglesPanthersHIGH 76%Panthers (18–16)✅
Round 8
8/8 correct
100.0% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Wests Tigers vs RaidersWests TigersHIGH 75%Wests Tigers (33–14)✅
Cowboys vs SharksCowboysLOW 64%Cowboys (46–34)✅
Broncos vs BulldogsBroncosHIGH 80%Broncos (32–12)✅
Dragons vs RoostersRoostersMEDIUM 74%Roosters (16–62)✅
Warriors vs DolphinsWarriorsMEDIUM 71%Warriors (20–18)✅
Storm vs RabbitohsRabbitohsLOW 60%Rabbitohs (6–48)✅
Knights vs PanthersPanthersHIGH 80%Panthers (12–44)✅
Sea Eagles vs EelsSea EaglesMEDIUM 68%Sea Eagles (33–18)✅
Round 7
8/8 correct
100.0% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Cowboys vs Sea EaglesSea EaglesCOIN FLIP 50%Sea Eagles (6–38)✅
Raiders vs StormRaidersLOW 62%Raiders (26–22)✅
Dolphins vs PanthersPanthersHIGH 83%Panthers (22–23)✅
Warriors vs TitansWarriorsHIGH 79%Warriors (28–20)✅
Rabbitohs vs DragonsRabbitohsMEDIUM 71%Rabbitohs (30–12)✅
Wests Tigers vs BroncosBroncosCOIN FLIP 55%Broncos (20–21)✅
Roosters vs KnightsRoostersMEDIUM 68%Roosters (38–24)✅
Eels vs BulldogsEelsLOW 57%Eels (38–20)✅
Round 6
2/8 correct
25.0% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Bulldogs vs PanthersPanthersLOW 62%Bulldogs (32–16)❌
Dragons vs Sea EaglesSea EaglesMEDIUM 68%Sea Eagles (18–28)✅
Broncos vs CowboysBroncosCOIN FLIP 55%Cowboys (31–35)❌
Rabbitohs vs RaidersRaidersCOIN FLIP 50%Raiders (34–36)✅
Sharks vs RoostersSharksLOW 58%Roosters (22–34)❌
Storm vs WarriorsStormLOW 60%Warriors (14–38)❌
Eels vs TitansEelsCOIN FLIP 51%Titans (10–52)❌
Wests Tigers vs KnightsKnightsCOIN FLIP 54%Wests Tigers (42–22)❌
Round 5
7/8 correct
87.5% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Dolphins vs Sea EaglesSea EaglesCOIN FLIP 54%Sea Eagles (18–52)✅
Rabbitohs vs BulldogsRabbitohsHIGH 78%Rabbitohs (32–24)✅
Panthers vs StormPanthersHIGH 77%Panthers (50–10)✅
Dragons vs CowboysCowboysMEDIUM 70%Cowboys (0–32)✅
Titans vs BroncosBroncosLOW 61%Broncos (12–26)✅
Sharks vs WarriorsWarriorsLOW 59%Sharks (36–22)❌
Knights vs RaidersKnightsLOW 57%Knights (32–12)✅
Eels vs Wests TigersWests TigersLOW 62%Wests Tigers (20–22)✅
Round 4
4/8 correct
50.0% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Sea Eagles vs RoostersSea EaglesLOW 56%Roosters (16–33)❌
Warriors vs Wests TigersWarriorsLOW 55%Wests Tigers (14–32)❌
Broncos vs DolphinsBroncosMEDIUM 70%Broncos (26–12)✅
Bulldogs vs KnightsBulldogsMEDIUM 73%Knights (16–24)❌
Panthers vs EelsPanthersHIGH 86%Panthers (48–20)✅
Cowboys vs StormStormCOIN FLIP 53%Cowboys (28–24)❌
Raiders vs SharksSharksMEDIUM 74%Sharks (22–34)✅
Titans vs DragonsTitansCOIN FLIP 54%Titans (22–14)✅
Round 3
6/8 correct
75.0% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Raiders vs BulldogsBulldogsLOW 64%Bulldogs (10–14)✅
Roosters vs PanthersPanthersLOW 61%Panthers (4–40)✅
Storm vs BroncosStormHIGH 80%Broncos (14–18)❌
Knights vs WarriorsWarriorsHIGH 79%Warriors (12–38)✅
Sharks vs DolphinsSharksMEDIUM 72%Dolphins (10–38)❌
Rabbitohs vs Wests TigersRabbitohsMEDIUM 68%Rabbitohs (20–16)✅
Eels vs DragonsEelsMEDIUM 66%Eels (30–20)✅
Cowboys vs TitansCowboysHIGH 84%Cowboys (30–16)✅
Round 2
6/8 correct
75.0% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Broncos vs EelsBroncosCOIN FLIP 54%Eels (32–40)❌
Warriors vs RaidersWarriorsMEDIUM 72%Warriors (40–6)✅
Roosters vs RabbitohsRoostersMEDIUM 73%Roosters (26–18)✅
Wests Tigers vs CowboysWests TigersMEDIUM 69%Wests Tigers (44–16)✅
Dragons vs StormStormMEDIUM 73%Storm (20–46)✅
Panthers vs SharksPanthersMEDIUM 72%Panthers (26–6)✅
Sea Eagles vs KnightsSea EaglesMEDIUM 71%Knights (16–36)❌
Dolphins vs TitansDolphinsMEDIUM 74%Dolphins (18–14)✅
Round 1
8/8 correct
100.0% ▼
MatchAI PickConfidenceResult✓
Knights vs CowboysKnightsMEDIUM 70%Knights (28–18)✅
Bulldogs vs DragonsBulldogsMEDIUM 71%Bulldogs (15–14)✅
Storm vs EelsStormHIGH 78%Storm (52–4)✅
Warriors vs RoostersWarriorsLOW 56%Warriors (42–18)✅
Broncos vs PanthersPanthersLOW 63%Panthers (0–26)✅
Sharks vs TitansSharksHIGH 81%Sharks (50–10)✅
Sea Eagles vs RaidersRaidersCOIN FLIP 53%Raiders (28–29)✅
Dolphins vs RabbitohsRabbitohsLOW 59%Rabbitohs (30–40)✅

Results updated automatically each round · Last updated 30 September 2026 · Predictions generated before each round using data available at prediction time.
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