★ Origin 2026
State of Origin Game 1 — Wed 27 May, Accor Stadium
QLD have won the last 2 at Accor. See our pick before kickoff.
Game 1 preview → Full Origin hub
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Our AI model analyses 1,468 historical matches, live weather, 5-game patterns, and streak data to produce the most data-driven NRL predictions available — for free.

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62.1% Model Accuracy
1,517 Matches Analysed
54 NRL Venues Tracked
53 Predictive Features
2026 Data Up To Date

Round 14 Predictions

AI model picks for every game this week

Full analysis →
Sea Eagles vs Rabbitohs
80%
20%
AI Pick Sea Eagles High
Sea Eagles form
LWWWL
Rabbitohs form
WLWLL
Storm vs Knights
45%
55%
AI Pick Knights Coin flip
Storm form
LWWLW
Knights form
LWWWW
Raiders vs Roosters
35%
65%
AI Pick Roosters Medium
Raiders form
LWLLW
Roosters form
WWWLL
Cowboys vs Dolphins
32%
68%
AI Pick Dolphins Medium
Cowboys form
WLWWL
Dolphins form
LWWWW
Broncos vs Titans
61%
39%
AI Pick Broncos Low
Broncos form
WLLLL
Titans form
LLLLL
Wests Tigers vs Panthers
25%
75%
AI Pick Panthers Medium
Wests Tigers form
WLLLW
Panthers form
WWWWW
Sharks vs Dragons
73%
27%
AI Pick Sharks Medium
Sharks form
LWLWW
Dragons form
LLLLW
Bulldogs vs Eels
77%
23%
AI Pick Bulldogs High
Bulldogs form
LLLWL
Eels form
LLWLL
See Full Round 14 Analysis & SGM Tips →
62.1%
Overall accuracy across 2024–2026 test seasons

Tested on seasons the model has never seen, using time-series cross-validation to prevent data leakage. That's 5+ points above the 57% baseline of backing the home team every game.

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Live Weather Intelligence
Every game is analysed with real forecast data from all 54 NRL venues. Rain, wind, heat — all factored in.
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5-Game Pattern Recognition
We found that LLWWL (false dawn) teams win next game only 28% of the time. Our model knows 32 patterns like this.
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Streak Continuation Rates
A team on a 5-game winning streak continues 71% of the time. We calculate this for every team, every round.
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We publish our model's predictions before every game and track the results publicly. No cherry-picking winners.
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Predictions go live as soon as the round draw is confirmed. Head-to-head, form, weather and picks — all in one place.

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